|

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD, hit by risk appetite, finds support below $1,770

  • Gold, rejected at $1,800, retreats to levels below $1,770.
  • Risk appetite and higher US bonds have hit gold futures.
  • XAU/USD's bearish momentum might increase below $1,745.

Gold futures have dropped sharply on Friday, hurt by a combination of factors that have boosted appetite for risk. The yellow metal has depreciated more than $30 after having topped at $1,800 on Thursday, to find supporet right below $1,770 during the afternoon US trading session.

Upbeat data and a rebound of US yields have weighed on gold

Bullion has given away Thursday’s gains with a risk rally and the recovery of US T-Bond yields denting the appeal of the safe-haven metal. The upbeat quarterly results at major banks with Goldman Sachs reporting a 66% increase on earnings in the third quarter to conclude a string of better than expected results this week have boosted investors’ optimism, offsetting fears about inflationary pressures and supply chain disruptions.

On the other hand, long-term US T-Bond yields have bounced up, with the 10-year bond, which had dropped from the 1.61% top hit on Monday to a 1.51% low on Thursday, has picked up to 1.55% on Friday, curbing attractive for gold, further.

The macroeconomic calendar has not been of any particular help for the safe-haven gold, either. The US retail sales have increased by 0.7% in September, according to data released by the Commerce Department on Friday,  beating market expectations of a 0.4% increment, although partially due to higher prices, namely in auto dealers who are struggling with a global shortage of computer chips.

XAU/USD: Breach of 1.745 support might accelerate the decline

From a technical perspective, XAU/USD seems to have found buyers at $1.770 area to take a breather after a 1.8% reversal. Below here, the next potential support area lies at $1,745 (October 6 low) which would open the path towards a key support area at $1,725 (September 29, 30 low).

On the upside, resistance levels remain at $1,807 (Sept. 15 high) ahead of $1.830, July and September’s peak. If that level is surpassed, the next potential target might be June 8 and 11 highs at $1,905.

Technical levels to watch

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1767.93
Today Daily Change-27.87
Today Daily Change %-1.55
Today daily open1795.8
 
Trends
Daily SMA201759.6
Daily SMA501776.81
Daily SMA1001799.29
Daily SMA2001796.17
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1800.62
Previous Daily Low1786.73
Previous Weekly High1781.38
Previous Weekly Low1746.07
Previous Monthly High1834.02
Previous Monthly Low1721.71
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1795.31
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1792.04
Daily Pivot Point S11788.15
Daily Pivot Point S21780.49
Daily Pivot Point S31774.26
Daily Pivot Point R11802.04
Daily Pivot Point R21808.27
Daily Pivot Point R31815.93

Author

Guillermo Alcala

Graduated in Communication Sciences at the Universidad del Pais Vasco and Universiteit van Amsterdam, Guillermo has been working as financial news editor and copywriter in diverse Forex-related firms, like FXStreet and Kantox.

More from Guillermo Alcala
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds gains around 1.1800 amid renewed USD selling

EUR/USD regains positive traction and holds around 1.1800 in the European session, reversing the previous day's modest losses. The pair's uptick is sponsored by the emergence of fresh US Dollar selling, which remains induced by persistent trade-related uncertainties. 

GBP/USD remains stronger above 1.3500 following Trump’s State of the Union

GBP/USD remains in the positive territory for the fourth successive session, trading around 1.3510 during the Asian hours on Wednesday. The pair appreciates as the US Dollar remains subdued following US President Donald Trump’s first State of the Union address of his second administration before a joint session of Congress.

Gold re-attempts $5,200 amid tariffs and geopolitical woes

Gold buyers are back in the game early Wednesday after seeing a correction from monthly highs on Tuesday. The US Dollar slips after Trump’s SOTU fails to impress and as AI-driven worries ease. Dovish Fed bets also weigh.  Gold looks north so long as the key 61.8% Fibo resistance at $5,142 holds on the daily chart.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple post cautious recovery amid downside risks

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are posting a cautious recovery on Wednesday following a market correction earlier this week.  BTC is approaching a key breakdown level, while ETH and XRP are rebounding from crucial support levels.

The Citrini report: How a debatable AI narrative can shake Wall Street

That AI-related headline alone was enough to rattle investors.US stocks slid sharply on Monday after a widely circulated Citrini Research memo outlined a hypothetical “2028 Global Intelligence Crisis”, warning that rapid AI adoption could push US unemployment into double digits as early as by mid-2028.

Cosmos Hub Price Forecast: ATOM rebounds slightly, bearish outlook remains intact

Cosmos Hub (ATOM) price rebounds, trading above $2.05 at the time of writing on Wednesday, after undergoing a sharp correction since last week. Weakening on-chain and derivatives data support a bearish outlook, while technical analysis remains unfavorable.