|

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD, hit by risk appetite, finds support below $1,770

  • Gold, rejected at $1,800, retreats to levels below $1,770.
  • Risk appetite and higher US bonds have hit gold futures.
  • XAU/USD's bearish momentum might increase below $1,745.

Gold futures have dropped sharply on Friday, hurt by a combination of factors that have boosted appetite for risk. The yellow metal has depreciated more than $30 after having topped at $1,800 on Thursday, to find supporet right below $1,770 during the afternoon US trading session.

Upbeat data and a rebound of US yields have weighed on gold

Bullion has given away Thursday’s gains with a risk rally and the recovery of US T-Bond yields denting the appeal of the safe-haven metal. The upbeat quarterly results at major banks with Goldman Sachs reporting a 66% increase on earnings in the third quarter to conclude a string of better than expected results this week have boosted investors’ optimism, offsetting fears about inflationary pressures and supply chain disruptions.

On the other hand, long-term US T-Bond yields have bounced up, with the 10-year bond, which had dropped from the 1.61% top hit on Monday to a 1.51% low on Thursday, has picked up to 1.55% on Friday, curbing attractive for gold, further.

The macroeconomic calendar has not been of any particular help for the safe-haven gold, either. The US retail sales have increased by 0.7% in September, according to data released by the Commerce Department on Friday,  beating market expectations of a 0.4% increment, although partially due to higher prices, namely in auto dealers who are struggling with a global shortage of computer chips.

XAU/USD: Breach of 1.745 support might accelerate the decline

From a technical perspective, XAU/USD seems to have found buyers at $1.770 area to take a breather after a 1.8% reversal. Below here, the next potential support area lies at $1,745 (October 6 low) which would open the path towards a key support area at $1,725 (September 29, 30 low).

On the upside, resistance levels remain at $1,807 (Sept. 15 high) ahead of $1.830, July and September’s peak. If that level is surpassed, the next potential target might be June 8 and 11 highs at $1,905.

Technical levels to watch

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1767.93
Today Daily Change-27.87
Today Daily Change %-1.55
Today daily open1795.8
 
Trends
Daily SMA201759.6
Daily SMA501776.81
Daily SMA1001799.29
Daily SMA2001796.17
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1800.62
Previous Daily Low1786.73
Previous Weekly High1781.38
Previous Weekly Low1746.07
Previous Monthly High1834.02
Previous Monthly Low1721.71
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1795.31
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1792.04
Daily Pivot Point S11788.15
Daily Pivot Point S21780.49
Daily Pivot Point S31774.26
Daily Pivot Point R11802.04
Daily Pivot Point R21808.27
Daily Pivot Point R31815.93

Author

Guillermo Alcala

Graduated in Communication Sciences at the Universidad del Pais Vasco and Universiteit van Amsterdam, Guillermo has been working as financial news editor and copywriter in diverse Forex-related firms, like FXStreet and Kantox.

More from Guillermo Alcala
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD struggles below 1.1800 ahead of US data, Fedspeak

EUR/USD remains trapped in a tight range below 1.1800 in the European session on Tuesday. The pair struggles amid a modest US Dollar strength and an improvement in risk sentiment, even as US tariff uncertainty lingers. The focus now remains on the US data and Fedspeak. 

GBP/USD stays defensive below 1.3500 as USD firms up

GBP/USD stays on the back foot below 1.3500 in the European trading hours on Tuesday. The pair declines as the US Dollar rebounds from losses recorded over the previous two sessions. Traders will focus on the US weekly ADP Employment Change and Consumer Confidence data due later in the day, along with speeches from Federal Reserve officials.

Gold holds pullback below $5,200 amid USD uptick

Gold holds moderate losses below $5,200 in European trading on Tuesday, though it lacks follow-through selling. Following the previous day's knee-jerk fall in reaction to US President Donald Trump's new global tariffs and the subsequent bounce, the US Dollar attracts fresh buyers ahead of mid-tier data and Fedspeak. 

Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, and Pepe extend losses on bearish signals

Meme coins are facing renewed selling pressure amid fading broad risk-on sentiment so far this week, with Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, and Pepe extending their losses after recent corrections.

AI-scare trade and tariff uncertainty takes hold

It was quite a day, with AI-disruption fears and tariff uncertainty triggering a risk-off session. By now, it's nearly impossible to have missed the Supreme Court's 6-3 decision that struck down US President Donald Trump's reciprocal tariffs last Friday.

Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, and Pepe extend losses on bearish signals

Meme coins are facing renewed selling pressure amid fading broad risk-on sentiment so far this week, with Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, and Pepe extending their losses after recent corrections.