|

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD extends losses around $1,925 on Fed hawkish stance

  • Gold price continues to lose after the Fed interest rate decision.
  • Fed kept its current benchmark policy rates at 5.5%.
  • Precious metal is under pressure on the Fed’s projection of an additional rate hike in 2023.

Gold price extends losses on the third consecutive day, trading lower around $1,925 during the early trading hours of the Asian session on Thursday. As expected, the US Federal Reserve (Fed) maintained current benchmark policy rates at 5.5% in the meeting held on Wednesday.

The price of precious metal is facing downward pressure as the Fed projects an additional rate hike in 2023. Furthermore, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) has disclosed in its monetary policy statement, anticipating slightly higher inflation than its previous forecasts.

Although the monetary policy statement remained largely consistent with the previous decision, the unexpected surge in the value of the US Dollar (USD) was primarily driven by the Fed officials' decision to revise their projected interest rates for 2024, elevating them from 4.6% to 5.1%. This adjustment played a pivotal role in the rapid appreciation of the Greenback.

US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the performance of the US Dollar (USD) against the six other major currencies, continues to gain and trades around a six-month high level at 105.60 at the time of writing.

US Treasury yields rose, with the 10-year rising to 4.43% by the press time, the highest since 2007, boosting the Greenback.

The precious metal slipped after Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s press conference to outline the Fed's position. Powell reaffirmed the Fed's commitment to reaching its long-term inflation target of 2%.

While he acknowledged that the Fed is likely approaching the peak of its interest rate hike cycle, he emphasized that the Fed will continue to make its future decisions based on data-driven analysis.

The impact of the Fed meeting will continue on Thursday when more US data is due with the weekly Initial Jobless Claims, Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey, and Existing Home Sales Change.

XAU/USD: additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1925.05
Today Daily Change-5.29
Today Daily Change %-0.27
Today daily open1930.34
 
Trends
Daily SMA201925.31
Daily SMA501931.44
Daily SMA1001944.49
Daily SMA2001924.26
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1947.47
Previous Daily Low1927.99
Previous Weekly High1930.77
Previous Weekly Low1901.07
Previous Monthly High1966.08
Previous Monthly Low1884.85
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1935.43
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1940.03
Daily Pivot Point S11923.06
Daily Pivot Point S21915.79
Daily Pivot Point S31903.58
Daily Pivot Point R11942.54
Daily Pivot Point R21954.75
Daily Pivot Point R31962.02

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD rebounds after falling toward 1.1700

EUR/USD gains traction and trades above 1.1730 in the American session, looking to end the week virtually unchanged. The bullish opening in Wall Street makes it difficult for the US Dollar to preserve its recovery momentum and helps the pair rebound heading into the weekend.

GBP/USD steadies below 1.3400 as traders assess BoE policy outlook

Following Thursday's volatile session, GBP/USD moves sideways below 1.3400 on Friday. Investors reassess the Bank of England's policy oıtlook after the MPC decided to cut the interest rate by 25 bps by a slim margin. Meanwhile, the improving risk mood helps the pair hold its ground.

Gold stays below $4,350, looks to post small weekly gains

Gold struggles to gather recovery momentum and stays below $4,350 in the second half of the day on Friday, as the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield edges higher. Nevertheless, the precious metal remains on track to end the week with modest gains as markets gear up for the holiday season.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid bearish market conditions

Bitcoin (BTC) is edging higher, trading above $88,000 at the time of writing on Monday. Altcoins, including Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP), are following in BTC’s footsteps, experiencing relief rebounds following a volatile week.

How much can one month of soft inflation change the Fed’s mind?

One month of softer inflation data is rarely enough to shift Federal Reserve policy on its own, but in a market highly sensitive to every data point, even a single reading can reshape expectations. November’s inflation report offered a welcome sign of cooling price pressures. 

XRP rebounds amid ETF inflows and declining retail demand demand

XRP rebounds as bulls target a short-term breakout above $2.00 on Friday. XRP ETFs record the highest inflow since December 8, signaling growing institutional appetite.