Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD hits five-month highs near $3,470 on renewed upside
- Gold price bounces back toward record highs in Monday’s Asian session.
- Precious metal reverses profit-taking retreat amid a renewed US Dollar selling.
- Rising Fed rate cut expectations aid Gold’s rebound.
Gold price (XAU/USD) has picked up fresh bids, resuming its uptrend in the Asian trading hours on Monday. The precious metal shrugs off its profit-taking pullback and rebounds to a fresh five-month high near $3,470 on increased dovish US Federal Reserve (Fed) expectations.
The US inflation data reinforced expectations that the Fed could cut interest rates this month.
Markets weigh in fresh US trade uncertainty after a US court on Friday ruled US President Donald Trump's global tariffs as largely illegal.
A slew of US economic data last week, including US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and US Initial Jobless Claims reports, underpinned the US Dollar (USD) and weighed on the USD-denominated commodity price. The US GDP grew at an annual rate of 3.3% in Q2, compared to the initial estimate of 3.0%, the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) showed Thursday. This figure came in better than the estimation of 3.1%.
Nonetheless, the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, the Fed’s preferred inflation measurement, stayed higher than the central bank's target in July, but it didn't dash traders' hopes for a rate cut. The expectation of Fed rate cuts continues to support the yellow metal, as lower interest rates could reduce the opportunity cost of holding Gold.
Traders are now pricing in nearly an 89% chance of a 25 basis points (bps) rate cut by the Fed at the September policy meeting, up from 85% odds before the US PCE data, according to the CME FedWatch tool. "We have expectations of a Fed rate cut, or potentially two, throughout this year, (which is) generally supportive for commodity prices across the board, including gold and silver," said David Meger, director of metals trading at High Ridge Futures.
US Dollar Price Today
The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies today. US Dollar was the weakest against the New Zealand Dollar.
| USD | EUR | GBP | JPY | CAD | AUD | NZD | CHF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD | -0.05% | -0.17% | 0.09% | 0.03% | 0.08% | -0.24% | 0.09% | |
| EUR | 0.05% | -0.12% | 0.07% | 0.09% | 0.13% | -0.19% | 0.15% | |
| GBP | 0.17% | 0.12% | 0.08% | 0.21% | 0.25% | -0.07% | 0.32% | |
| JPY | -0.09% | -0.07% | -0.08% | 0.02% | 0.01% | -0.29% | 0.04% | |
| CAD | -0.03% | -0.09% | -0.21% | -0.02% | 0.06% | -0.28% | 0.11% | |
| AUD | -0.08% | -0.13% | -0.25% | -0.01% | -0.06% | -0.32% | 0.06% | |
| NZD | 0.24% | 0.19% | 0.07% | 0.29% | 0.28% | 0.32% | 0.39% | |
| CHF | -0.09% | -0.15% | -0.32% | -0.04% | -0.11% | -0.06% | -0.39% |
The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the US Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent USD (base)/JPY (quote).
Author
Lallalit Srijandorn
FXStreet
Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.
