|

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD at risk of tanking to $1,561 on a breach of $1,691/77 – Credit Suisse

Gold is especially seen at risk if real yields rise. Strategists at Credit Suisse are on high alert for the potential formation of an important top also, although this would only be seen confirmed below $1,691/77.

The risk of a potential large top is growing

“With US Real Yields still seen in the process of basing and with the USD expected to strengthen further, XAU/USD stays seen under pressure in its range and below support at $1,759/58 can see a retest of long-term pivotal support at $1,691/77. 

“Beneath the $1,691/77area at any stage would mark a major top with just initial support then seen next at $1,561.”

“Resistance at $1,877 ideally continues to cap.”

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD edges higher as hot CPI inflation and hawkish RBA lift rate hike bets

The AUD/USD pair gathers strength to near 0.7035 during the Asian trading hours on Friday. The Australian Dollar edges higher against the US Dollar as hotter Australian CPI inflation data has bolstered expectations of Reserve Bank of Australia rate hikes.

USD/JPY declines toward 157.00 as Yen gathers strength after BoJ

The Japanese Yen gathers strength on Friday, with USD/JPY falling toward 157.00 in the second half of the day. The Bank of Japan (BoJ) decided to leave monetary policy settings unchanged at the October meeting, as expected. In the post-meeting press conference, BoJ Governor Ueda reiterated that they will continue to raise the policy rate and adjust the degree of monetary easing in reponse to economic activity and prices.

Gold remains on the back foot; targets $3,900

Gold now accelerates its decline and approaches the $3,930 region per troy ounce at the end of the week. The yellow metal’s correction comes in response to modest gains in the US Dollar, higher crude oil prices and further speculation of extra tightening by the Fed.

The hawkish Fed can't lift the US Dollar anymore
About three more Federal Reserve hikes are already priced in, and the central banks behind the Euro, Pound, Yen and Loonie are raising rates or about to. That leaves the US Dollar Index with little to gain if the Fed keeps leaning toward higher rates.
Binance hack shakes crypto, but XRP pullback may not be so bearish
Crypto markets were hit by a big headline overnight. Binance confirmed a security incident in which a compromised engineer's laptop led to unauthorized withdrawals, with an estimated impact of around $6.3 billion. About $3 billion has been frozen so far, Binance says it will cover the losses, and withdrawals were paused while security checks are completed.
A hot US economy is supposed to sink Gold. It didn't. Here's why
Gold (XAU/USD) remains under pressure near $4,000, as stronger-than-expected United States (US) economic data reinforce expectations of another Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate hike in December. Economic growth is accelerating, inflation remains elevated, and borrowing costs could rise further.