|

Gold Price Forecast: Positive XAU/USD story in play for first half of next year – TDS

Gold still has considerable upside left in the early part of 2022, in the view of strategists at TD Securities. Jerome Powell is no hawk and will keep rates low for longer to achieve full employment, with economic data driving decisions.

XAU/USD to jump into the $1,875/oz territory in the first half of 2022

If data is lackluster, which looks likely due to less liquidity and the waning positive fiscal stimulus impact, Fed Chair Powell most likely will continue signaling a dovish policy tilt for much of 2022. This is a positive for gold.” 

“Post-COVID normalization may well increase the labor participation rate over time. The hope is that the resulting higher potential growth, and the lower non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment, may all leave the US central bank comfortable keeping the economy running hot for longer. The best case for gold is high, but decelerating inflation.”

“Political risks associated with the pending US mid-term elections, US fiscal drag, fairly steadfast central bank gold purchases, and a significantly slower pace of US and global recovery, are additional factors which may see investors rekindle their interest in gold. These factors should help lift gold into the $1,875/oz territory in the first half of 2022, as per our projections.”

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD stays defensive below 1.1600, awaits Fed commentary

EUR/USD stays under modest bearish pressure and trades below 1.1600 in the second half of the day on Wednesday. Markets await the US House vote on the stopgap funding bill that will end the government shutdown. Meanwhile, investors will pay close attention to comments from Fed policymakers.

GBP/USD remains subdued below 1.3150 ahead of UK flash Q3 GDP data

GBP/USD remains subdued for the third successive session, trading around 1.3120 during the Asian hours on Thursday. Traders await the United Kingdom flash Gross Domestic Product data for the third quarter due later in the day.

Gold battles $4,200 as buyers refuse to give up yet

Gold consolidates near three-week highs early Thursday as sellers lurk above the $4,200 level. US Dollar attempts a bounce as the US government is set to reopen, paving the way for data publication. The daily technical setup indicates ‘buy-the-dips’ trades in Gold whilst above the 21-day SMA.

UK GDP set to post small rise as markets eye December rate cut

The UK’s Office for National Statistics will release the advanced prints of the Q3 Gross Domestic Product on Thursday. If the figures meet market consensus, the UK economy would have maintained its pace of expansion at 1.4% annualised, showing that momentum could have begun to stall.

US government hopes boost risk, as bond market may not prop up Starmer

As we move through the European trading session on Wednesday, there is residual optimism in the market that continues to boost risk sentiment. European indices are having another strong day, although the FTSE 100 is bucking this trend and is posting a small loss.

Sui reclaims $2.00 despite DeFI TVL logging 15% drop

Sui (SUI) is rising in tandem with the cryptocurrency market, trading above $2.00 at the time of writing on Wednesday. The bullish wave behind Sui's 3.5% increase followed a correction that erased gains from $2.20 to $1.98 the previous day.