|

Gold Price Forecast: Focus is back on $1,850 and $1,835 for XAU/USD bears – Confluence Detector

  • Gold Price knocked down by the US dollar resurgence on recession fears.
  • Bond massacre triggered US yields rally, adding to the weight on XAU/USD.
  • Gold markets remain positioned for the next leg lower amid a dramatic week.

Gold Price is licking its wounds after failing another attempt to find a foothold above the $1,900 mark. The less hawkish Fed-led dollar sell-off turned out to be temporary, as recession fears hit the market after the BOE’s warning and triggered massive risk-off flows into the safe-haven greenback. ‘Sell everything’ mode returned, as bond markets tumbled alongside equities. Amid uncertain economic times, in the face of the Ukraine crisis and China’s covid lockdowns, the king dollar will remain the go-to asset at the expense of gold price.

Also read: US April Nonfarm Payrolls Preview: Analyzing gold's reaction to NFP surprises

Gold Price: Key levels to watch

The Technical Confluences Detector shows that Gold Price is attempting a minor bounce, looking to recapture the critical resistance at $1,874, which is the intersection of the previous day’s, month’s and week’s low.

The SMA5 one-day at $1,878 will be probed if gold bulls flex their muscles on the road to recovery.

Further up, gold buyers would aim for the Fibonacci 23.6% one-day at $1,881, above which a fresh upswing towards $1,887 will be in the offing. That level is the confluence of the SMA50 four-hour, Fibonacci 38.2% one-day and Fibonacci 23.6% one-week.

Alternatively, the immediate support is seen at the pivot point one-week S1 at $1,869. The next downside target is envisioned at the pivot point one-day S1 at $1,863.

A sharp sell-off on a sustained breach of the latter cannot be ruled out towards the $1,850 demand area, where the pivot point one-month S1 coincides with the Bollinger Band one-day Lower.

The straw that will break gold bulls’ neck is pegged at $1,835, the SMA200 one-day.

Here is how it looks on the tool

 
fxsoriginal

About Technical Confluences Detector

The TCD (Technical Confluences Detector) is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a congestion of indicators, moving averages, Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc.  If you are a short-term trader, you will find entry points for counter-trend strategies and hunt a few points at a time. If you are a medium-to-long-term trader, this tool will allow you to know in advance the price levels where a medium-to-long-term trend may stop and rest, where to unwind positions, or where to increase your position size.

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD climbs to daily highs near 1.1820

EUR/USD now picks up pace and advances to the area of daily peaks north of the 1.1800 barrier at the end of the week. The pair’s decent move higher comes against the backdrop of a generalised lack of direction in the FX galaxy and the mild offered stance in the US Dollar.

GBP/USD trims losses, retests 1.3460

After briefly challenging its key 200-day SMA near 1.3440, GBP/USD now manages to regain some balance and revisit the 1.3460 zone on Friday. Cable’s pullback comes as the selling pressure on the Greenback gathers traction, reigniting some recovery in the risk-linked space.

Gold flirts with four-week highs past $5,200

Gold extends its rebound, climbing for a third consecutive session and pushing back above the $5,200 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The move higher continues to draw support from lingering geopolitical tensions and the ongoing uncertainty surrounding US trade policy, both of which are keeping safe-haven demand firmly in play.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple consolidate with short-term cautious bullish bias

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple are consolidating near key technical areas on Friday, showing mild signs of stabilization after recent volatility. BTC holds above $67,000 despite mild losses so far this week, while ETH hovers around $2,000 after a rejection near its upper consolidation boundary. 

Changing the game: International implications of recent tariff developments

The Supreme Court ruling on International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) tariffs provides limited relief for the rest of the world, with weighted average tariff rates modestly lower.

Starknet unveils strkBTC, shielded Bitcoin transactions on Ethereum Layer 2

Starknet, the Ethereum Layer 2 network developed by StarkWare, today announced strkBTC, a wrapped Bitcoin asset that introduces optional shielding while preserving full DeFi composability.