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Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD's daily chart shows temporary uptrend exhaustion

  • Gold's daily chart shows a bearish divergence of the MACD, a sign of uptrend exhaustion. 
  • A break below the 10-day SMA could prove costly.

Gold is sidelined around $1,809 per ounce at press time with the daily chart MACD histogram, an indicator used to identify trend changes and trend strength, reporting a bearish divergence. 

A bearish divergence occurs when an indicator prints a lower high, contradicting a higher high on price and is reflective of buyer exhaustion. 

As such, the metal looks vulnerable to price pullback. Moreover, the bearish divergence of the MACD would remain valid as long as prices are held below the recent high of $1,818. 

The immediate support is seen at $1,795 (10-day simple moving average). Acceptance under that support line could cause some buyers to exit the market, leading to a deeper pullback. This is because sellers have failed multiple times to establish a strong foothold below the 10-day simple moving average in the last four weeks. 

On the higher side, $1,818 is the level to beat for the bulls. 

Daily chart

Trend: Buyer exhaustion

Technical levels

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1809.64
Today Daily Change0.50
Today Daily Change %0.03
Today daily open1809.14
 
Trends
Daily SMA201774.64
Daily SMA501741.98
Daily SMA1001691.19
Daily SMA2001604.02
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1810.98
Previous Daily Low1790.42
Previous Weekly High1818.17
Previous Weekly Low1770.16
Previous Monthly High1785.91
Previous Monthly Low1670.76
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1803.13
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1798.27
Daily Pivot Point S11796.05
Daily Pivot Point S21782.95
Daily Pivot Point S31775.49
Daily Pivot Point R11816.61
Daily Pivot Point R21824.07
Daily Pivot Point R31837.17

 

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

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