|

Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD to hover around $1850 by end-March 2022 – Deutsche Bank

Gold (XAU/USD) is down around 15% from its mid-2020 high and strategists at Deutsche Bank do not expect a major rebound. The rate of change in real yields has gone from sharply declining to relatively flat (or even rising) as nominal rates have begun to rise – providing less support for the yellow metal.

Key quotes

“A firmer US dollar and stabilising real yields (after rapid declines in 2020) have removed some tailwinds for gold. This has reduced investor appetite for gold as evidenced by falling retail and speculative investor positions.”

“We have revised down our 12-month price forecast although unexpected events or a sharp one-off increase in inflation expectations could provide some temporary support.” 

“End-March 2022 gold price forecast: $1,850/oz.”

Author

More from FXStreet Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD weakens below 1.1700 as Middle East tensions drive US Dollar strength

The EUR/USD pair trades with mild losses around 1.1685, the lowest since late January, during the early Asian session on Tuesday. The US Dollar gathers strength against the Euro as escalating tensions in the Middle East boost safe-haven currencies. The preliminary reading of the Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices from the Eurozone will be published later on Tuesday.  

GBP/USD hits new yearly lows near 1.3300

GBP/USD adds to the recent bearish tone, approaching to the key 1.3300 support to reach fresh YTD troughs against the backdrop of the robust performance of the US Dollar. Indeed, Cable’s decline comes amid the firm demand for the safe-haven space in the wake of the US and Israel attacks to Iran.

Gold defends bids as US-Iran war continues to fuel safe-haven flows

Gold retains positive bias for the fifth consecutive day on Tuesday as rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continue to underpin safe-haven assets. However, a bullish US Dollar keeps the bullion below its highest level since late January, set on Monday, warranting caution before positioning for any further appreciation.

Strategy lifts holdings to 3.4% of Bitcoin's total supply amid inflows into crypto products

Strategy continued its accumulation of the top crypto last week, acquiring 3,015 BTC for $204 million amid renewed interest in crypto products after four weeks of outflows.

The market is not panicking it is repricing the probability distribution of Oil and time

At the end of the day, markets do not trade morality or geopolitics. They trade transmission channels. And the only channel that truly matters in this maelstrom runs through the price of energy and the time value of money.

Grass 20% bullish breakout defies broader market weakness

Grass (GRASS) is edging up above $0.30 at the time of writing on Monday. The token’s notable 20% intraday surge stands out amid heightened volatility in the broader crypto market.