Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD steadies above $1,770 ahead of key US data


  • Gold struggles to stage a decisive rebound following Wednesday's drop. 
  • Wall Street's main indexes look to open in positive territory.
  • Upbeat market mood makes it difficult for USD to find demand. 

The XAU/USD pair climbed to its highest level since October of 2012 at $1,789 on Wednesday but ended up closing the day deep in the negative territory at $1,770. With the trading action turning subdued ahead of key macroeconomic data releases from the US, the pair is posting small gains at $1,773.

Upbeat macroeconomic data releases from the US on Wednesday revived hopes of a strong global economic recovery in the second half of the year despite the continually-increasing number of COVID-19 cases. Reflecting the risk-on environment, major European equity indexes are up between 0.8% and 1.8% on the day and the S&P 500 futures are gaining 0.78%, pointing out to a positive opening in Wall Street.

Focus shifts to US jobs report

However, investors are likely to remain on the sidelines until the US Department of Labor Statistics published the labour market report. Experts expect the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) in June to increase by 3 million. A better-than-expecting NFP figure could provide an additional boost to sentiment and further weigh on safe-haven gold. 

Previewing the data, “employment gains should have been sizeable in the month judging from a decline in continuing claims between the May and the June reference periods, said economists at the National Bank of Canada. "Unfortunately, these gains are likely to have been at least partially offset by yet more job losses; initial jobless claims continued to pile at a steady clip over that period."

US NFP Preview: Eight major banks expectations for June jobs report.

Nevertheless, the greenback is also struggling to find demand and another wave of USD-selling could help XAU/USD limits its losses. At the moment, the US Dollar Index is down 0.23% on the day at 96.93.

Technical levels to watch for

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price 1772.82
Today Daily Change 2.42
Today Daily Change % 0.14
Today daily open 1770.4
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1739.91
Daily SMA50 1726.66
Daily SMA100 1674.09
Daily SMA200 1590.54
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1789.28
Previous Daily Low 1759.26
Previous Weekly High 1779.41
Previous Weekly Low 1742.97
Previous Monthly High 1785.91
Previous Monthly Low 1670.76
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1770.73
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1777.81
Daily Pivot Point S1 1756.68
Daily Pivot Point S2 1742.96
Daily Pivot Point S3 1726.66
Daily Pivot Point R1 1786.7
Daily Pivot Point R2 1803
Daily Pivot Point R3 1816.72

 

 

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