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Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD remains confined in a range, moves little post-ADP

  • A combination of factors capped the commodity’s early uptick to the $1845 region.
  • A goodish pickup in the USD demand exerted some downward pressure on the metal.
  • The technical set-up favours bearish traders and supports prospects for further decline.

Gold seesawed between tepid gains/minor losses through the early European session and consolidated the overnight slide to over two-week lows.

The underlying bullish sentiment weighed on the safe-haven XAU/USD and kept a lid on the early uptick to the $1845 region. Apart from this, a modest uptick in the US Treasury bond yields prompted some selling around the non-yielding yellow metal.

This, along with resurgent US dollar demand, exerted some additional pressure on the dollar-denominated commodity. The USD stood tall following the release of better-than-expected ADP report on the US private-sector employment.

Meanwhile, the recent rejection slide from $1875-76 supply zone dragged the yellow metal below a short-term ascending trend-line support on Tuesday. This, in turn, might have already set the stage for a further near-term depreciating move.

The negative outlook is further reinforced by bearish technical indicators on hourly/daily charts. A subsequent slide below the overnight swing lows, around the $1830 region, will reaffirm the bearish bias and prompt some technical selling.

The XAU/USD might then accelerate the downfall towards intermediate support near the $1818-17 region. The downward momentum could further get extended and allow bears to aim back to challenge 2021 swing lows, around the $1800 round-figure mark.

On the flip side, attempted recovery might now confront stiff resistance near the $1853-54 horizontal zone. Any further positive move would now be seen as a selling opportunity and runs the risk of fizzling out near the $1870-75 congestion zone.

XAU/USD 4-hourly chart

fxsoriginal

Technical levels to watch

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1839.69
Today Daily Change3.75
Today Daily Change %0.20
Today daily open1835.94
 
Trends
Daily SMA201855.04
Daily SMA501857.41
Daily SMA1001875.97
Daily SMA2001852.46
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1864.17
Previous Daily Low1829.58
Previous Weekly High1875.7
Previous Weekly Low1831.36
Previous Monthly High1959.42
Previous Monthly Low1802.8
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1842.79
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1850.96
Daily Pivot Point S11822.29
Daily Pivot Point S21808.64
Daily Pivot Point S31787.7
Daily Pivot Point R11856.88
Daily Pivot Point R21877.82
Daily Pivot Point R31891.47

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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