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Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD rebounds modestly, looks to close below $1,700

  • Major equity indexes in US post sharp losses.
  • Risk aversion helps gold find demand on Friday.
  • US Dollar Index rebounds above 99, loses more than 1% this week.

The XAU/USD pair dropped to its lowest level since April 10th at $1,670 on Friday but staged a rebound during the American session as risk-off flows provided a boost to the safe-haven precious metal. As of writing, the pair was up 0.5% on the day at $1,695. Despite this latest recovery, the pair remains on track to close the week nearly $30 lower.

Gold capitalizes on flight-to-safety

The data published by both the IHS Markit and the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) on Friday revealed that the business activity in the US' manufacturing sector contracted sharply in April. Reflecting the souring market sentiment, Wall Street's main indexes started the day deep in the negative territory and continued to push lower. At the moment, both the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite indexes are down more than 3% on a daily basis.

On the other hand, the US Dollar Index, which slumped to a 16-day low 98.78 earlier in the day, erased its losses and was last seen posting small daily gains at 99.05. Nevertheless, the index is still losing more than 1% on a weekly basis.

In a recently-published report, “we continue to expect the appeal for precious metals to firm, as capital seeks shelter from negative real rates, but components of market structure remain worrisome,” said TD Securities analysts. “We suspect that we are in the early stages of a multi-year bull market and that, when the dust settles, investment demand will continue to flow to the yellow metal — the balance of risks remains to the upside for gold.”

Technical levels to consider

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1693.26
Today Daily Change6.50
Today Daily Change %0.39
Today daily open1686.76
 
Trends
Daily SMA201690.2
Daily SMA501636.69
Daily SMA1001590.64
Daily SMA2001539.63
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1722.16
Previous Daily Low1681.76
Previous Weekly High1739
Previous Weekly Low1661.18
Previous Monthly High1747.82
Previous Monthly Low1568.46
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1697.19
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1706.73
Daily Pivot Point S11671.63
Daily Pivot Point S21656.49
Daily Pivot Point S31631.23
Daily Pivot Point R11712.03
Daily Pivot Point R21737.29
Daily Pivot Point R31752.43

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

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