|

Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD now up nearly 1%, ETFs amass record inventory

  • Dollar sell-off propels gold to session highs above $1,910.
  • Gold is now chipping away at a two-month descending trendline. 
  • ETFs amassed record inventory in the first nine months of 2020.

The upward move in gold is gathering steam with markets offering US dollar alongside continued risk-on action in the global equities. 

The yellow metal is now trading at a session high of $1,912 per ounce, representing a 0.95% gain on the day. 

That level is currently housing the resistance of the trendline falling from the record high of $2,075 reached on Aug. 7.

Acceptance higher would signal a revival of the broader uptrend from lows near $1,450 observed in March and open the doors to a re-test of the record high of $2,075. 

The daily chart MACD histogram has already crossed into bullish territory above zero for the first time since Aug. 10. 

Besides, investor demand has been strong as evidenced by a surge in stockpiles held by the Gold-backed exchange-traded funds (ETFs). 

The ETFS have added more than 1,000 tonnes of bullion in the first nine months of 2020. 

According to Reuters News, the hoarding seen in the first nine months of the year far exceeds any previous full year. 

That said, a breakout in gold may remain elusive if equities drop in the run-up to the Nov. 3 US Presidential Elections, as warned by Goldman Sachs, boosting the haven demand for the US dollar. 

Daily chart

Technical levels

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1912.03
Today Daily Change18.11
Today Daily Change %0.95
Today daily open1893.92
 
Trends
Daily SMA201907.57
Daily SMA501940.42
Daily SMA1001860.38
Daily SMA2001742.37
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1900.72
Previous Daily Low1882
Previous Weekly High1917.16
Previous Weekly Low1848.82
Previous Monthly High1992.42
Previous Monthly Low1848.82
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1893.57
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1889.15
Daily Pivot Point S11883.71
Daily Pivot Point S21873.49
Daily Pivot Point S31864.99
Daily Pivot Point R11902.43
Daily Pivot Point R21910.93
Daily Pivot Point R31921.15

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

More from Omkar Godbole
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD keeps the red near 0.6950 after weak Aussie jobs data

AUD/USD holds losses near 0.6950 on disappointing Australian jobs data, extending the previous day's retracement slide from the monthly high and hitting a fresh weekly low during Thursday’s Asian session. Meanwhile, declining US bond yields drag the US Dollar away from the April 2025 high, touched after Wednesday's hot US CPI, helping limit losses for the currency pair.

USD/JPY slides back below 158.00 as USD reverses post-CPI gains

USD/JPY extends the previous day's pullback from a three-week high, attracting follow-through selling and sliding below 158.00 during Thursday's Asian session. Traders remain on high alert amid speculation that authorities will step in to prop up the Japanese Yen. The US Dollar, meanwhile, reverses Wednesday's hot CPI-led gains to April 2025 highs as US bond yields retreat on China bond-buying talk, further pressuring the pair.

Gold pares intraday gains, trades below $4,150 as Fed hike bets cap upside

Gold struggles to capitalize on its strong Asian session move up on Thursday and currently trades below $4,150. The commodity, however, retains an intraday bullish bias, snapping a three-day losing streak to a one-week low, touched on Wednesday, amid a broadly weaker US Dollar (USD). 

Zcash declines as US inflation surprise offsets fresh ETF inflows
Zcash (ZEC) is trading in the red on Friday, extending its previous day’s roughly 6% losses as the broader cryptocurrency market falls on rising US inflation. The US Consumer Price Index (CPI) print came in higher than expected, at an annual increase of 3.7% versus the expected 3.6%, raising concerns about inflation and rate hikes.
China seems routing US Treasury holdings through Canada

According to a Bloomberg report, China seems to be moving United States securities to non-US custodian banks in other countries, masking its role in financing US deficits.

Has Bitcoin really escaped the macro forces it was built to fight?
Over 17 years ago, Satoshi Nakamoto designed Bitcoin (BTC) on the back of a global financial crisis as an alternative to the global monetary system outside the control of central banks, governments and traditional intermediaries. This raises a key question: has Bitcoin really become independent of the macroeconomic forces it was built to challenge?