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Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD flirts with session lows, around $1,745 area

  • A combination of factors prompted some fresh selling around gold on Friday.
  • A sharp spike in the US bond yields benefitted the USD and exerted pressure.
  • The prevalent risk-on mood further undermined the safe-haven commodity.

Gold extended its steady intraday descent from five-week tops and refreshed fresh daily lows, around the $1,745-44 region heading into the North American session.

The precious metal witnessed a modest pullback from the vicinity of the $1,760-65 strong resistance and for now, seems to have stalled its recent strong rebound from multi-month lows. As investors looked past a stubbornly dovish Fed, a sharp intraday spike in the US Treasury bond yields turned out to be a key factor that drove flows away from the non-yielding yellow metal.

Meanwhile, rebounding US bond yields allowed the US dollar to stage a goodish recovery from over two-week lows, which exerted some additional downward pressure on the dollar-denominated commodity. Apart from this, the underlying bullish sentiment around the equity markets also did little to lend any support to the safe-haven XAU/USD or stall the intraday corrective slide.

Looking at the fundamental backdrop, investors remain convinced that a relatively faster US economic recovery could force the Fed to raise interest rates sooner rather than later. In fact, the markets have been pricing in a lift-off by the end of 2022. This, in turn, suggests that the XAU/USD might have topped out in the near term and supports prospects for further weakness.

That said, it will still be prudent to wait for some strong follow-through selling below the $1,730 level before traders start positioning for an extension of the ongoing depreciating move. Sustained weakness below the $1,720 level will reaffirm the bearish bias and turn gold vulnerable to challenge the $1,700 mark before dropping to the double-bottom support near the $1,677-76 zone.

Technical levels to watch

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1744.82
Today Daily Change-10.60
Today Daily Change %-0.60
Today daily open1755.42
 
Trends
Daily SMA201729.89
Daily SMA501762.35
Daily SMA1001809.92
Daily SMA2001858.89
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1758.74
Previous Daily Low1733.22
Previous Weekly High1733.24
Previous Weekly Low1677.98
Previous Monthly High1759.98
Previous Monthly Low1676.87
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1748.99
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1742.97
Daily Pivot Point S11739.51
Daily Pivot Point S21723.61
Daily Pivot Point S31713.99
Daily Pivot Point R11765.03
Daily Pivot Point R21774.65
Daily Pivot Point R31790.55

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
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