|

Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD eyes next two barriers after $1976 resistance tested – Confluence Detector

Gold (XAU/USD) tested the critical $1976 resistance while hovering near the highest levels in two weeks on Monday.  The dovish Fed narrative, which implied that a period of low-interest rates would extend, continues to benefit the non-yielding gold.

Although a bounce in the US Treasury yields and risk-on market mood could make it an uphill task for the bulls to extend the advance towards the $2000 mark. Investors also remain wary ahead of the all-important US NFP report due later this week. In the meantime, let’s see how is gold positioned technically?

Gold: Key resistances and supports

The tool shows that gold tested the critical $1976 barrier, which is the convergence of the previous week high, previous high on four-hour and Bollinger Band four-hour Upper.

Acceptance above the latter will open doors towards the previous month’s high at $1985.

The next cap is seen at $1992, the pivot point one-week R1, as the bulls keep the $2000 level on their radars.

To the downside, minor support awaits at $1966, the convergence of the SMA5 four-hour and SMA50 15-minutes.

The immediate cushion is next seen at $1962, where the Fibonacci 23.6% one-day and Bollinger Band one-hour Middle intersect.

The Fibonacci 23.6% one-week support at $1959 could lend some support to the bulls. A sharp drop towards the robust support of $1950 (Fibonacci 38.2% one-week) should the above barrier fail to hold.

Here is how it looks on the tool

fxsoriginal

About the Confluence Detector

The TCI (Technical Confluences Indicator) is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a congestion of indicators, moving averages, Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc. Knowing where these congestion points are located is very useful for the trader, and can be used as a basis for different strategies.

Learn more about Technical Confluence

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD rises to 0.6950 as USD slips on Fed's Warsh

AUD/USD regains traction and extends the bounce toward 0.6950 in the Asian session on Friday. Fed Chair Warsh's comments reinforce the selling pressure on the US Dollar, allowing the pair to stretch higher. Warsh said that he remains committed to delivering price stability without giving away anything on future interest rate path.

USD/JPY falls in symc with USD, gives up 158.00 after Warsh's speech

USD/JPY has come under fresh selling pressure and gives up 158.00 in the Asian session on Friday amid the emergence of fresh US Dollar selling. Fed Chair Warsh's non-committal commentary on the future tightening path, weighs on the US Dollar and the pair.

Gold looks vacillating above $4,150

Gold alternates gains with losses below the key $4,200 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The yellow metal’s irresolute price action comes in response to a modest pullback in the US Dollar and a tepid recovery in US Treasury yields across the board.

Bitcoin steadies at $82,000: The five forces crushing the Uptober rally

Crypto markets have remained under pressure so far in October, with Bitcoin (BTC) sliding below $80,000 earlier this week before recovering to around $82,000 on Friday, as macroeconomic headwinds and cooling demand weigh on the market.

The Fed just got a second hot inflation number. Here's what the diesel signal is really saying
The Federal Reserve (Fed) faces a renewed inflation challenge after two consecutive reports showed price pressure intensifying across the US economy. September's Consumer Price Index (CPI) confirmed accelerating consumer inflation, while the Producer Price Index (PPI) revealed an even sharper rise in business costs. Behind both reports lies a common factor: energy prices.
Everyone's dumping Gold after hot US inflation. Here's why $4,100 could be a floor, not a cliff
Gold (XAU/USD) is recovering from a sharp sell-off triggered by hotter-than-expected United States (US) inflation data released on Wednesday. The precious metal briefly plunged toward $4,073 as investors increased their bets on further Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate hikes before recovering as US Treasury yields and the US Dollar (USD) reversed their initial gains.