|

Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD could stretch lower with a break below $1,816

  • XAU/USD is fluctuating in a tight range on Tuesday.
  • Near-term outlook could turn bearish with a break below $1,810.
  • Key resistance seems to have formed around $1,835.

The XAU/USD pair closed the first day of the week in the negative territory and seems to have gone into a consolidation phase on Tuesday. As of writing, the pair was up 0.15% on the day at $1,821.

Gold technical outlook

On the four-hour chart, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator is moving sideways around 50, confirming XAU/USD's indecisiveness in the near-term. Additionally, the pair is fluctuating between the Fibonacci 38.2% and 50% retracement levels of the six-day-long uptrend witnessed earlier in the month. 

On the downside, the initial support aligns at $1,816 (Fibonacci 50% retracement) ahead of $1,810 (Feb. 12 low/Fibonacci %61.8 retracement). With a break below the latter, XAU/USD could target $1,800 (psychological level).

The initial resistance could be seen at $1,825 (Fibonacci 38.2% retracement). Above that level, the 100-SMA forms the next hurdle at $1,835, which is also reinforced by the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement.

Gold 4-hour chart

Additional levels to watch for

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1821.05
Today Daily Change3.15
Today Daily Change %0.17
Today daily open1817.9
 
Trends
Daily SMA201838.65
Daily SMA501858.33
Daily SMA1001868.69
Daily SMA2001857.97
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1827.11
Previous Daily Low1816.16
Previous Weekly High1855.5
Previous Weekly Low1807.86
Previous Monthly High1959.42
Previous Monthly Low1802.8
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1820.34
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1822.93
Daily Pivot Point S11813.67
Daily Pivot Point S21809.44
Daily Pivot Point S31802.72
Daily Pivot Point R11824.62
Daily Pivot Point R21831.34
Daily Pivot Point R31835.57

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD trims gains, back below 1.1800

EUR/USD now loses some upside momentum, returning to the area below the 1.1800 support as the Greenback manages to regain some composure following the SCOTUS-led pullback earlier in the session.

GBP/USD off highs, recedes to the sub-1.3500 area

Following earlier highs north of 1.3500 the figure, GBP/USD now faces some renewed downside pressure, revisiting the 1.3490 zone as the US Dollar manages to regain some upside impulse in the latter part of the NA session on Friday.

Gold climbs to weekly tops, approaches $5,100/oz

Gold keeps the bid tone well in place at the end of the week, now hitting fresh weekly highs and retargeting the key $5,100 mark per troy ounce. The move higher in the yellow metal comes in response to ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and modest losses in the US Dollar.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound as risk appetite improves

Bitcoin rises marginally, nearing the immediate resistance of $68,000 at the time of writing on Friday. Major altcoins, including Ethereum and Ripple, hold key support levels as bulls aim to maintain marginal intraday gains.

Week ahead – Markets brace for heightened volatility as event risk dominates

Dollar strength dominates markets as risk appetite remains subdued. A Supreme Court ruling, geopolitics and Fed developments are in focus. Pivotal Nvidia earnings on Wednesday as investors question tech sector weakness.

Ripple bulls defend key support amid waning retail demand and ETF inflows

XRP ticks up above $1.40 support, but waning retail demand suggests caution. XRP attracts $4 million in spot ETF inflows on Thursday, signaling renewed institutional investor interest.