|

Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD challenges 100-SMA support again ahead of US data

  • Gold is back in the red amid resurgent US dollar demand across the board.
  • XAU/USD retests ascending 100-SMA on the 4H chart amid bearish RSI.  
  • Downside appears more compelling ahead of the US macro news.

Gold (XAU/USD) has returned to the red zone in the European session, having attempted a tepid bounce earlier in the Asian trading.

The US dollar resumes a recent uptrend and hits fresh two-week highs against its six major peers, despite the risk-on action in the European indices and positive US stock futures.

The uptick in the US Treasury yields also exerts additional downside pressure on the yieldless gold, as traders await fresh cues from the US ADP and ISM Services PMI reports for the next direction.

Gold: Technical outlook

Having faced rejection near $1784 earlier in the day, gold sellers fought back control and knocked off the rates below strong support at $1778.

At that level, the 21-simple moving average (SMA) coincides with the 50-SMA.

Gold Price Chart: Four-hour  

Subsequently, the bears tested the 100-SMA support at $1773 once again. A four-hourly closing below the latter is likely to expose Tuesday’s low of $1770.

April 29 low at $1765 will be the next cap, cushioning the downside.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) edges lower below the midline, allowing more room for losses.

Alternatively, the buyers need to recapture the $1778 support-turned-resistance, in order to revive the bullish momentum towards the $1800 mark.

Ahead of that crucial round figure, the previous week high of $1790 could test the bullish commitments.

Gold: Additional levels

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1775.3
Today Daily Change-3.70
Today Daily Change %-0.21
Today daily open1779
 
Trends
Daily SMA201767.38
Daily SMA501744.91
Daily SMA1001798.85
Daily SMA2001853.98
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1799.08
Previous Daily Low1770.9
Previous Weekly High1790.03
Previous Weekly Low1756.18
Previous Monthly High1797.93
Previous Monthly Low1705.84
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1781.66
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1788.32
Daily Pivot Point S11766.91
Daily Pivot Point S21754.81
Daily Pivot Point S31738.73
Daily Pivot Point R11795.09
Daily Pivot Point R21811.17
Daily Pivot Point R31823.27

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD jumps to 0.7050, fresh one-month top after hot Australian CPI

AUD/USD attracts buyers for the second straight day on Wednesday, rising to a fresh high since September 23 during the Asian session. A hot Australian CPI print reaffirmed bets for an imminent RBA rate hike in November and boosted the Australian Dollar. Meanwhile, the US Dollar pauses after a three-day rally to a near two-week high ahead of the crucial FOMC rate decision, lending additional support to the currency pair.

USD/JPY sticks to modest gains above 157.50 as traders await Fed, BoJ meetings

USD/JPY attracts buyers for the third straight day, recovering further from a one-month low ahead of Wednesday’s FOMC decision and the BoJ policy update on Friday. Meanwhile, expectations that the BoJ may hold off on aggressive rate hikes weigh on the Japanese Yen, and the US Dollar advances to a nearly two-week high, supporting the currency pair.

Gold comes under pressure, still above $4,000 ahead of FOMC

Gold now gives away part of its recent two-day rebound, although a breach below the key $4,000 mark per troy ounce remains elusive for now. Rising crude oil prices keep the precious metal under pressure ahead of the Fed’s interest rate decision later on Wednesday.

Zcash's bullish momentum mounts on steady ETF inflows, retail confidence

Zcash extends steady recovery above $1,300 on Wednesday, approaching a key resistance near $1,373. Grayscale’s ZEC-focused Exchange-Traded Fund sees persistent buying pressure, with six straight days of inflows, including more than $3 million on Tuesday.

BoC expected to raise interest rates to 2.50%

The Bank of Canada is expected to raise its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to 2.50% on Wednesday, as persistent inflation concerns put pressure on policymakers to tighten monetary policy despite growing signs of economic weakness. According to a Reuters poll, 19 of 34 economists anticipate a rate hike, which would mark the central bank's first increase since July 2023.

Anthropic pledged $270 billion to Amazon, Google, and Microsoft. Here's who actually gets paid
Anthropic owes Amazon, Google, and Microsoft at least $269.4 billion for computing power, even if it uses less. All three sell its models and handle its billing, and Amazon and Google own stakes and lend it money, so they get paid regardless of how the IPO goes. The Dario Amodei-led Anthropic filed its initial public offering (IPO) on Monday, seeking a listing on the Nasdaq under the ticker ANT.