|

Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD bears waiting to pounce

  • Gold meets a critical resistance area for a compelling case to the downside. 
  • A significant pullback could now be on the cards to correct recent rally. 

The price of gold has shot higher and meets the bearish commitments at a critical juncture in the precious metal's journey. 

From a longer-term perspective, the bullish trend is well soiled, however, a significant pullback could now be on the cards to correct the highly overextended W-formation's impulse. 

The following is a top-down analysis which illustrates the compelling market structure and where the next trading opportunity could arise to the downside. 

Weekly chart

The price is meeting a strong level of resistance which prevented the mid-winter come back and the area would be expected to hold initial tests. 

Daily chart

From a daily perspective, the W-formation is highly overextended and is due for a correction. 

A correction would be expected to at least complete a 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, although the support structure is much lower down meeting a 61.8% Fibo level.

4-hour chart

With the price still above the current support structure reinforced by the 10 moving average on the 4-hour chart, there is minimal risk to reward opportunities at this juncture. 

However, a break of the support would be compelling for a downside move to correct the over extended W-formation's impulse. 

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD jumps to 0.7050, fresh one-month top after hot Australian CPI

AUD/USD attracts buyers for the second straight day on Wednesday, rising to a fresh high since September 23 during the Asian session. A hot Australian CPI print reaffirmed bets for an imminent RBA rate hike in November and boosted the Australian Dollar. Meanwhile, the US Dollar pauses after a three-day rally to a near two-week high ahead of the crucial FOMC rate decision, lending additional support to the currency pair.

USD/JPY sticks to modest gains above 157.50 as traders await Fed, BoJ meetings

USD/JPY attracts buyers for the third straight day, recovering further from a one-month low ahead of Wednesday’s FOMC decision and the BoJ policy update on Friday. Meanwhile, expectations that the BoJ may hold off on aggressive rate hikes weigh on the Japanese Yen, and the US Dollar advances to a nearly two-week high, supporting the currency pair.

Gold hovers around $4,050 after Fed's announcement

Gold ticks higher after the Federal Open Market Committee kept the Fed funds rate unchanged at 4%. XAU/USD advanced as Chair Kevin Warsh explained that hikes are working, cooling down hopes for an aggressive 50 bps hike in December.

Bitcoin and Gold Forecast: BTC bulls hold $80K as XAU defends $4,000 ahead of Fed
Bitcoin (BTC) ticks lower near $80,000 on Wednesday, while Gold (XAU/USD) holds above $4,000. Both assets reflect the broader risk-off sentiment as focus remains on the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) interest rate decision later in the day.
The Japanese Yen's Friday hinges on one press conference
The Japanese Yen (JPY) remains under pressure against the US Dollar (USD) after a weak start to the week, stabilizing near recent lows as investors focus on the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) monetary policy decision on Friday.
Anthropic pledged $270 billion to Amazon, Google, and Microsoft. Here's who actually gets paid
Anthropic owes Amazon, Google, and Microsoft at least $269.4 billion for computing power, even if it uses less. All three sell its models and handle its billing, and Amazon and Google own stakes and lend it money, so they get paid regardless of how the IPO goes. The Dario Amodei-led Anthropic filed its initial public offering (IPO) on Monday, seeking a listing on the Nasdaq under the ticker ANT.