Gold Price Analysis: Three factors to drive XAU/USD higher – DBS Bank


Gold has broken out of the downward trend since April 2021 and is on the way to retest the previous high. Factors that could drive gold prices higher include: 1) Negative real yields 2) Recovery in utility demand and 3) Gold remains a good hedge in uncertain times and provides a good alternative to diversify asset portfolio, analysts at DBS Bank report.

See – Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD still has legs to inch higher – OCBC

XAU/USD to trade at $2,000/oz by year-end 2021 

Negative real yields could deliver boost to gold 

“The US Treasury Inflation-Protected Security (TIPS), which is a US Treasury bond with interest payments pegged to inflation, is still locked in the negative yield territory. Negative real yields indicate a loss on guaranteed capital and hence makes gold a more attractive asset class as a form of investment given that gold bears no interest rates.” 

Diverse users for gold; expect demand to pick up

“Gold has diverse uses, in jewellery, technology, by central banks and as a form of investment. We expect demand from these three segments to pick up in 2021 given the economic recovery and rising income which is often associated with higher demand for jewellery, technology, and long-term savings. The three segments combined represent more than 90% of total gold demand.”

Gold is still a good hedge in uncertain times despite forecast downgrade

“We revised down the year-end 2021 gold forecast to $2,000/oz, in view of the higher bond yield forecast and the delayed timing for the peaking of USD by one quarter. Despite the downward revision in gold, the yellow metal remains a good hedge in uncertain times, and is a good diversification strategy to reduce asset volatility.”

 

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Feed news

Latest Forex News


Latest Forex News

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD rebounds to 1.1350 on modest dollar weakness

EUR/USD regained its traction after declining toward 1.1320 during the European session and rose to 1.1350 area. The dollar's is facing modest selling pressure amid falling US Treasury bond yields and allowing the pair to continue to edge higher ahead of the weekend.

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD struggles to pull away from 10-day low set near 1.3550

GBP/USD fell toward 1.3550 on Friday and touched its weakest level in 10 days. Although the US Dollar Index stays in the negative territory in the early American session, the risk-averse market environment doesn't allow the pair to stage a convincing recovery.

GBP/USD News

Gold reclaims $1,840 amid falling US T-bond yields

Gold reversed its direction after testing $1,830 earlier in the day and turned positive on the day above $1,840. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield is losing more than 3% at 1.75%, fueling XAU/USD's rebound.

Gold News

BTC may capitulate to $30,000

Bitcoin price has dropped considerably over the last three weeks. The recent downswing has made things worse for BTC and hints that a steep correction could be on its way.

Read more

Will the Netflix stock price rebound?

Netflix stock edged down after better than expected Q4 results. Will the Netflix stock price rebound? Expectations of rising subscription and higher prices are bullish for Netflix stock price.

Read more

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures