|

Gold Price Analysis: Sell the bounce as Trump raises doubts about ‘peaceful transition’ – Confluence Detector

Gold (XAU/USD) remains under pressure on Wednesday, having faced rejection once again at $1900. The first US Presidential election debate was chaos and weighed on the market mood, which helped the safe-haven US dollar recover from weekly lows. US President Donald Trump warned of a delay in the election and the eventual 'peaceful transition'. Meanwhile, the odds of Joe Biden winning propped up, which didn’t go down too well with the investors.  

Attention returns to the US fiscal stimulus and a raft of key economic releases, including the critical US employment and GDP. How is gold positioned technically?

Gold: Key resistances and supports

Following the latest leg down, the Technical Confluences Indicator shows that Gold is trying hard to recapture a dense cluster of resistance levels between $1890/92, which is the convergence of the Bollinger Band one-hour Middle, SMA50 and 5 on four-hour.

The next relevant barrier is placed at $1894, the Fibonacci 23.6% one-day. A break above the latter could trigger a minor rally towards the previous day high at $1899.

Acceptance above that critical level is needed to revive the recovery momentum from two-month lows of $1848. The buyers will then look to test the powerful resistance near $1913/15, where the Fibonacci 61.8% 1W coincide with the Fibonacci 23.6% one-month.

Alternatively, the immediate cushion is seen at $1882, the intersection of the pivot point one-day S1 and Bollinger Band one-hour Lower.

Selling pressure could intensify below the latter, opening floors towards the robust support at $1875, the confluence of the Fibonacci 23.6% one-week and SMA5 one-day.

Further south, the bears will challenge the pivot point one-day S2 at $1869

Here is how it looks on the tool

fxsoriginal

About Confluence Detector

The TCI (Technical Confluences Indicator) is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a congestion of indicators, moving averages, Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc. Knowing where these congestion points are located is very useful for the trader, and can be used as a basis for different strategies.

Learn more about Technical Confluence

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD struggles to extend advance above 1.1800

The EUR/USD pair posts a fresh weekly low near 1.1740 during the Asian trading session on Wednesday. The major currency pair is under pressure as the US Dollar edges higher despite Federal Open Market Committee minutes of the December policy meeting, released on Tuesday, showing that most policymakers stressed the need for further interest rate cuts.

GBP/USD trades flat above 1.3450 amid thin trading volume

The GBP/USD pair holds steady around 1.3465 during the early Asian trading hours on Wednesday. However, the Bank of England guided that monetary policy will remain on a gradual downward path, which might underpin the Cable against the US Dollar. Financial markets are expected to trade on thin volumes as traders prepare for the New Year holiday.

Gold attempts another run toward $4,400 on final day of 2025

Gold price makes another attempt toward $4,400 in Asian trading on Tuesday, keeping the recovery mode intact following Monday's over 4% correction. The bright metal seems to cheer upbeat Chinese NBS and RatingDog Manufacturing and Services PMI data for December. 

Top Crypto Gainers: Canton, Four, Plasma rally secures double-digit gains

Canton, Four, and Plasma are the top-performing crypto assets over the last 24 hours with double-digit gains. The extended recovery in Canton is gaining traction while Four and Plasma target a decisive close above the 200-period Exponential Moving Average on the 4-hour chart.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).