|

Gold Price Analysis: Lower US Real Yields to lift XAU/USD towards $1943/66 – Credit Suisse

The expected pullback in gold is holding its 200-day average (DMA) and the broader risk is seen higher by the Credit Suisse analyst team. What’s more, lower US Real Yields should help XAU/USD.

Close below $1841 to reinforce a sideways trend

“Gold has seen its expected pullback to its 200-day average, now at $1841 and this is holding as expected. We stay biased higher and look for this to continue to hold for a move to resistance seen at the high for the year, November 2020 high and potential trend resistance at $1943/66.” 

“Whilst we would expect $1943/66 to cap again for now to maintain the broader consolidation range, an eventual break should open the door to a move back to the $2075 record high.”

“A close below $1841 would reinforce a sideways trend but with a move below $1809/05 needed to warn of a retest of the ‘neckline’ to the recent base at $1765/55.”

“Gold has strengthened recently in line with the weaker USD (and flat US Real Yields) and if the USD can establish a multi-year top, this should similarly help the yellow metal finally break higher from its range and resume its core bull trend.”

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD remains above 1.1700 as bullish momentum builds

EUR/USD breaks its four-day losing streak, trading around 1.1720 during the Asian hours on Monday. On the daily chart, technical analysis indicates a prevailing bullish bias, as the pair remains slightly above the ascending channel pattern. Additionally, the 14-day Relative Strength Index at 61.63 remains in bullish territory, confirming firm momentum. RSI above 60 reinforces upward pressure and could sustain tests of nearby ceilings.

GBP/USD gains ground near 1.3400 ahead of UK Q3 GDP data

GBP/USD gains ground after three days of losses, trading around 1.3390 during the Asian hours on Monday. The pair depreciates as the Pound Sterling holds ground ahead of the release of the United Kingdom Gross Domestic Product for the third quarter.

Gold hits fresh record highs above $4,400 amid renewed geopolitical woes

Gold is hitting fresh record highs above $4,400 early Monday, helped by renewed geopolitical tensions. Israel-Iran conflict and US-Venezuela headlines drive investors toward the traditional store of value, Gold. 

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple eye breakout for fresh recovery

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are approaching key technical levels at the time of writing on Monday as the broader crypto market stabilizes. Market participants are closely watching whether BTC, ETH, and XRP can sustain breakouts and achieve decisive daily closes above nearby resistance levels, which could signal the start of a short-term recovery.

De-dollarisation by design: Gold’s partner in the new system

You don’t need another 2008 for the system to reset. You just need enough nations to stop settling trade in dollars. And that’s already happening. "If gold is the anchor, what actually moves value in a post-dollar world?” It’s a question most gold investors overlook. We think in terms of storage and preservation, but in the new rails being built, settlement speed matters just as much as soundness of money.

XRP rebounds amid ETF inflows and declining retail demand demand

XRP rebounds as bulls target a short-term breakout above $2.00 on Friday. XRP ETFs record the highest inflow since December 8, signaling growing institutional appetite.