Gold Price Analysis: Bullish move stalls near a multi-month ascending trend-line hurdle


  • Gold surrenders early gains and retreated to the lower end of its daily range.
  • Slightly overbought conditions seemed to have prompted some profit-taking.
  • A subsequent fall below $1800 mark will set the stage for further weakness.

Gold struggled to capitalize on its intraday uptick back closer to multi-year tops and has now retreated to the lower end of its daily trading range, around the $1808-07 region.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart has moved above 70, pointing to slightly overbought conditions. This seemed to be the only factor capping gains for the commodity near a resistance marked by a medium-term ascending trend-line.

The mentioned hurdle extends from August 2019 and is currently pegged near the $1820 region. A convincing breakthrough the mentioned barrier might be seen as a fresh trigger for bullish traders and set the stage for an extension of the recent appreciating move.

On the flip side, any subsequent fall towards the $1800 mark might still be seen as a buying opportunity and help limit any deeper losses. That said, some follow-through selling might prompt some long-unwinding trade and pave the way for further weakness.

The commodity might then accelerate the corrective slide further towards the $1780 horizontal level with some intermediate support near the $1789 area. The downward trajectory could further get extended towards the next major support near the $1765 region.

Gold daily chart

fxsoriginal

Technical levels to watch

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price 1810.01
Today Daily Change 0.30
Today Daily Change % 0.02
Today daily open 1809.71
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1759.43
Daily SMA50 1733.57
Daily SMA100 1684.39
Daily SMA200 1597.96
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1818.17
Previous Daily Low 1791.66
Previous Weekly High 1789.28
Previous Weekly Low 1757.7
Previous Monthly High 1785.91
Previous Monthly Low 1670.76
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1808.04
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1801.79
Daily Pivot Point S1 1794.86
Daily Pivot Point S2 1780
Daily Pivot Point S3 1768.35
Daily Pivot Point R1 1821.37
Daily Pivot Point R2 1833.02
Daily Pivot Point R3 1847.88

 

 

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