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Gold Price Analysis: Bull flag or rising wedge breakdown?

  • Gold's 4-hour chart shows a rising wedge and a bull flag pattern. 
  • The S&P 500 futures are flashing green and signaling a risk-on environment. 
  • The yellow metal could witness a rising wedge breakdown.

Gold's 4-hour chart is reporting conflicting price patterns. 

To start with, the pullback from the April 14 high of $1,747 to $1,700 (Friday's Asian session low) has taken the shape of a bull flag, a pause which usually accelerates the preceding bullish move. 

A move above the top end of the flag at $1,738 would confirm the breakout and open the doors for a convincing move above $1,750. 

Further, the metal is also teasing a rising wedge breakdown, a bearish reversal pattern. The breakdown would be confirmed if the current 4-hour candle closes under $1,717. That would imply an end of the rally from $1,455 and would shift the focus to the immediate support at $1,642 (higher low created on April 8). 

With the S&P 500 futures reporting over 3 percent gains at press time, a rising wedge breakdown looks likely. Risk assets are better bid in Asia, possibly on STAT news report that Gilead Sciences' experimental drug remdesivir is seeing rapid recoveries in fever and respiratory symptoms associated with coronavirus. 

The yellow metal is trading at $1,713 per ounce at press time, representing a 0.26% drop on the day. 

4-hour chart

Trend: Bearish

Technical levels

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1713.56
Today Daily Change-3.44
Today Daily Change %-0.20
Today daily open1717
 
Trends
Daily SMA201628.09
Daily SMA501611.5
Daily SMA1001566.76
Daily SMA2001525.36
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1739
Previous Daily Low1708.46
Previous Weekly High1690.42
Previous Weekly Low1609.15
Previous Monthly High1703.27
Previous Monthly Low1451.3
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1727.33
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1720.13
Daily Pivot Point S11703.97
Daily Pivot Point S21690.95
Daily Pivot Point S31673.43
Daily Pivot Point R11734.51
Daily Pivot Point R21752.03
Daily Pivot Point R31765.05

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

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