|

Gold consolidates near record highs, flat-lined around $2060 area ahead of NFP

  • Concerns about escalating US-China tensions pushed gold to fresh record highs on Friday.
  • A goodish pickup in the USD prompted some profit-taking amid overbought conditions.
  • The downside remains cushioned ahead of Friday’s release of the US monthly jobs report.

Gold seesawed between tepid gains/minor losses through the Asian session and now seems to have stabilised in the neutral territory, around the $2060 region.

The precious metal edged higher during the early part of the trading action on Friday and shot to fresh record highs amid concerns about a further escalation in the US-China tensions. The US President Donald Trump signed executive orders banning US transactions with China's tech giant Tencent – which owns the popular WeChat app – and ByteDance – the owner of video-sharing app TikTok. The announcement took its toll on the global risk sentiment and was evident from a modest pullback in the equity markets. This, in turn, provided a modest lift to the precious metal's safe-haven status.

The global flight to safety led to a fresh leg down in the US Treasury bond yields. In fact, the yield on the benchmark 10-year US government bond dropped back closer to an all-time closing low level of 0.501% and extended some additional support to the non-yielding yellow metal. However, a goodish pickup in the US dollar demand kept a lid on any additional gains for the dollar-denominated commodity, rather prompted some profit-taking at higher levels amid near-term overbought conditions, though the pullback remained cushioned in the wake of growing worries over the US economic recovery.

Investors remain concerned that the US economy could be stalling again due to the country's poor performance in containing the coronavirus outbreak. This coupled with the political stalemate over the shape and size of the next U.S. fiscal recovery package further extended some support to the precious metal. After concluding talks on Thursday, the US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin warned that Republicans and Democrats are still very far apart on key issues. Mnuchin further added that Trump is prepared to issue an executive order if the two sides fail to meet the end-of-the-week deadline.

Moreover, traders might be reluctant to place any aggressive bets ahead of Friday's release of the closely watched US monthly jobs report, which further seemed to have contributed to the consolidative price action on Friday. The headline NFP is expected to show that the US economy added 1.6 million jobs in July and the unemployment rate is expected to edge lower to 10.5% from 11.1%. A disappointing reading will further fuel worries that the US labour market recovery was faltering and prompt traders to continue dumping the USD selling, which should pave the way for an extension of the metal's recent strong bullish trajectory.

Technical levels to watch

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price2058.18
Today Daily Change-4.78
Today Daily Change %-0.23
Today daily open2062.96
 
Trends
Daily SMA201902.63
Daily SMA501809.82
Daily SMA1001744.71
Daily SMA2001640.28
 
Levels
Previous Daily High2069.78
Previous Daily Low2034.66
Previous Weekly High1984.8
Previous Weekly Low1900
Previous Monthly High1984.8
Previous Monthly Low1757.7
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%2056.36
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%2048.08
Daily Pivot Point S12041.82
Daily Pivot Point S22020.68
Daily Pivot Point S32006.7
Daily Pivot Point R12076.94
Daily Pivot Point R22090.92
Daily Pivot Point R32112.06

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD looks to regain the 200-day SMA

EUR/USD regains some balance and trade just above 1.1600 the figure ahead of the opening bell in Asia. The pair initially dipped to the 1.1530 zone for the first time since November, always following the stronger US Dollar and the marked flight-to-safety in the context of the ongoing Middle East crisis
 

GBP/USD attacks 1.3300, refreshing three-month lows

GBP/USD is deep in the red near 1.3300, accelerating its downside to renew three-month lows in European trading on Tuesday. The ongoing escalation in the Iran war, combined with rising Oil prices, weighs negatively on the higher-yielding Pound Sterling as the US Dollar capitalizes on increased haven demand.

Gold bounces off lows, back above $5,100

Gold remains on the defensive, eroding part of the recent multi-day advance and managing to trade back above the $5,100 mark per troy ounce on Tuesday. The precious metal initially dropped just below the critical $5,000 threshold on the back of the persistent strength of the Greenback, higher US Treasury yields across the curve and investors' repricing of Fed rate cuts.

Ethereum: Whales step up buying as short positions contract

After holding firm heading into the last weekend, Ethereum whales have returned to action, pouncing on the volatility stemming from escalating military actions between the US and Iran.

Energy shock 2.0: Why rising Gas prices could hit the Euro

Even without a confirmed, sustained disruption, the mere risk to a key global energy chokepoint is enough to inject a significant premium into European Gas markets. And for the Euro, that matters.

Ripple falters amid sell-off jitters and negative funding rates

Ripple (XRP) has come under pressure, drifting lower to $1.35 at the time of writing on Tuesday. The over 2% correction looks poised to erase the previous day’s gains, which lifted the remittance token to $1.42.