Gold bounces on dovish Fed
- The FOMC statement seen as dovish, investors dump USD
- Gold is bouncing from the 1304 level and is past the 1,310 level
Gold is trading at around 1,312 a troy ounce up 0.66% on Wednesday as the FOMC surprised the market with a dovish statement.
The Fed leaves rates unchanged as it was widely expected and a hike in June is still on the cards, however, the Fed may not be eager to keep inflation depressed.
On inflation the Fed says:
“On a 12-month basis, both overall inflation and inflation for items other than food and energy have moved close to 2 percent. Market-based measures of inflation compensation remain low; survey-based measures of longer-term inflation expectations are little changed, on balance.”
The Fed sees things as “symmetric”. Analysts say that it implies that the Fed will allow inflation to run a bit high before moving hiking rates.
As a reminder, the US macroeconomic data has been rather constructive of late. Core Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose from 1.8% YoY to 2.1% in April while Core Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE), the Fed's favorite gauge of inflation, increased from 1.6% to 1.9% in April and wage growth stood at 2.7% above 2.5% seen earlier.
The next event of significance that can move gold is the US Non-Farm Payroll scheduled on Friday at 12:30 GMT.
Author
Flavio Tosti
Independent Analyst
