|

GBP/USD trying to hold above 1.39 as risk-off drives the Greenback

  • Sterling slipping on Dollar-bidding risk aversion, but downside remains limited.
  • A weak macro calendar sees markets looking ahead to Fed rate decision next week.

The GBP/USD is on the low side for Friday's Asia session, trading near Thursday's lows and testing the 1.3930 region.

Market-wide risk aversion on trade wars fears stemming from Trump's tariffs has capped the Sterling this week, and the Japanese government land sale scandal is keeping risk appetite at bay as we head into the last day of the trading week. 

The macro calendar is thin for the Sterling and the Greenback for Friday, but some knock-on volatility could present itself if EU CPI figures come out at a big hit or miss, but chances are slim as these are non-preliminary numbers. Macro will likely turn to the Fed's Rate Decision next Wednesday, where the Fed is expected to begin lifting interest rates, and some market movement leading up to the event is likely as traders jostle for position ahead of rising global interest rates.

Next Tuesday will also see CPI figures for the UK, and eyes will be watching to see if the Bank of England's (BoE) sunny outlook and rate strategy that seeing increases beginning in May is on par with economic data moving forward.

GBP/USD Technicals

The pair may be pricing in a lower high on Daily candles, with the latest high of 1.3995 failing to capture the 1.4000 handle and acting as resistance, though the 34 EMA is supporting action from 1.3890. A break lower could see the GBP/USD challenging the week's opening price of 1.3850. A push higher on the other hand, will see further resistance from late February's swing high of 1.4070.

Author

Joshua Gibson

Joshua joins the FXStreet team as an Economics and Finance double major from Vancouver Island University with twelve years' experience as an independent trader focusing on technical analysis.

More from Joshua Gibson
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD struggles below 1.1750 as 2025 draws to a close

EUR/USD struggles below 1.1750 in the European session on Wednesday, the final day of 2025. The pair is under pressure as the US Dollar edges higher despite Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Minutes of the December policy meeting, released on Tuesday, showing that most policymakers stressed the need for further interest rate cuts.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 amid renewed USD demand

GBP/USD remains under pressure near 1.3450 in European trading on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold recovers losses above $4,300 amid the year-end grind

Gold price reverses a dip below $4,300 in the European trading hours on Wednesday, recovering intraday losses. The precious metal draws support from the prospect of further US interest rate cuts in 2026. Gold has surged about 65% this year and is set to record its biggest annual gains since 1979.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).