|

GBP/USD struggling to get a grip on 1.42 ahead of Carney's speech

  • Sterling is trapped in consolidation, lacking motivation in either direction ahead of BoE speeches.
  • Middle East concerns are clamping down on market sentiment that started the week with a kick upwards.

The GBP/USD is trapped within Wednesday's range, testing around 1.4180 ahead of the European markets.

The Sterling was unable to derive any significant momentum on Wednesday, pushing into 1.4220 but ultimately couldn't capture new ground, falling back below the 1.4200 handle as growing concerns over the Syria crisis continue to push the Middle East instability to the forefront of markets. 

UK's PM May to ask Cabinet meeting about Syria strikes - Sky News

The economic calendar for the GBP today sees a cluster of speeches, kicking off with Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) Member Broadbent, who will be taking the podium early at 06:30 GMT, followed by the Bank of England (BoE) Credit Conditions Survey results at 08:30. After that will be the main event, a scheduled speech from the BoE's head, Mark Carney. Carney will be speaking later in the day at 19:00 GMT, where he will be delivering the closing speech for the Public Policy Forum's growth summit, in Toronto, Canada.

The US side of the economic calendar may spark some movement, with US Continuing and Initial Jobless Claims dropping at 12:30 GMT. Continuing Claims are expected to bump slightly from 1.808 million to 1.848 million, while Initial Claims are forecast to decrease, from 242 thousand to 230 thousand.

The UK economy has been middling as of late, and the growth that the UK has seen is being attributed to strong global conditions rather than domestic demand, as noted by the BCC quarterly survey here.

GBP/USD Levels to consider

As FXStreet's Chief Analyst Valeria Bednarik noted earlier, "the technical outlook is still positive, despite the rally seems to have lost momentum, as the pair is in a consolidative stage after recovering roughly 230 pips from last week's low. In the 4 hours chart, the 20 SMA has partially lost its bullish strength but continues heading north below the current level, while technical indicators ease from overbought territory, rather reflecting the ongoing retracement than suggesting an upcoming slide. A break through 1.4244, the high established last March, would favor a rally up to 1.4345, the highest post-Brexit referendum, while the bullish potential will be neutralized on a break below 1.4115."

Support levels: 1.4150 1.4115 1.4080

Resistance levels: 1.4200 1.4245 1.4290

Author

Joshua Gibson

Joshua joins the FXStreet team as an Economics and Finance double major from Vancouver Island University with twelve years' experience as an independent trader focusing on technical analysis.

More from Joshua Gibson
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD bounces toward 1.1750 as US Dollar loses strength

EUR/USD returned to the 1.1750 price zone in the American session on Friday, despite falling Wall Street, which indicates risk aversion. Trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, with the focus shifting to US employment and European data scheduled for next week.

GBP/USD nears 1.3500, holds within familiar levels

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades with modest intraday gains at around 1.3490 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold trims intraday gains, approaches $4,300

Gold retreated sharply from the $4,400  area and trades flat for the day in the $4,320 price zone. Choppy trading conditions exacerbated the intraday decline, although XAU/USD bearish case is out of the picture, considering growing expectations for a dovish Fed and persistent geopolitical tensions.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).