|

GBP/USD steadies near 1.2150, stays on track to post weekly gains

  • GBP/USD continues to trade in positive territory at around 1.2150.
  • US Dollar stays on the back foot after UoM Consumer Sentiment Survey.
  • The pair remains on track to post weekly gains.

GBP/USD declined toward 1.2100 during the European trading hours but regained its traction amid renewed US Dollar (USD) weakness. The pair seems to have stabilized at around 1.2150 in the American session and remains on track to end the week in positive territory.

Plunging US yields weigh on USD

Despite the negative shift witnessed in risk sentiment, the USD is having a difficult time finding demand ahead of the weekend. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield is down nearly 5% on the day at around 3.4%, forcing the US Dollar Index (DXY) to stay in the red near 104.00.

The data published by the University of Michigan (UoM) revealed on Friday that the Consumer Confidence Index declined to 63.4 in early March from 67 in February. More importantly, "year-ahead inflation expectations receded from 4.1% in February to 3.8%, the lowest reading since April 2021," UoM Surveys of Consumers Director, Joanne Hsu, said.

Ahead of next week's critical Federal Reserve policy meeting, this report seems to be causing investors to reassess their positions. According to the CME Group FedWatch Tool, the probability of a 25 basis points Fed rate hike next week currently stands at 68%, down from nearly 80% earlier in the day.

Technical levels to watch for

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.2148
Today Daily Change0.0039
Today Daily Change %0.32
Today daily open1.2109
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2022
Daily SMA501.2139
Daily SMA1001.2043
Daily SMA2001.1892
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2128
Previous Daily Low1.2027
Previous Weekly High1.2114
Previous Weekly Low1.1803
Previous Monthly High1.2402
Previous Monthly Low1.1915
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2089
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2066
Daily Pivot Point S11.2048
Daily Pivot Point S21.1988
Daily Pivot Point S31.1948
Daily Pivot Point R11.2149
Daily Pivot Point R21.2189
Daily Pivot Point R31.225

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD bulls seem hesitant below 0.7050 ahead of RBA on Tuesday

AUD/USD reverses an Asian session dip on Monday as renewed optimism over Iran diplomacy boosts investor confidence, keeping a lid on the safe-haven US Dollar and supporting the risk-sensitive Aussie. Spot prices, however, remain below the one-month high, touched last Thursday, as bulls wait for the crucial RBA decision before taking fresh positions.



USD/JPY climbs to 158.00 neighborhood as BoJ uncertainty weighs on the JPY

The USD/JPY pair gains some positive traction at the start of a new week, recovering further from Friday's post-Bank of Japan (BoJ) swing low to sub-157.00 levels. The momentum lifts spot prices to the 158.00 neighborhood during the Asian session and seems unaffected by fresh intervention warning from Japan's Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama.

Gold trims intraday gains; trades below $3,900 as Fed hike bets counter weak USD

Gold trims part of its modest intraday gains, trading with a mild positive bias below the $3,900 mark during Monday’s early European session. The US Dollar attracts fresh sellers amid optimism over a potential diplomatic breakthrough to end the US-Iran war and offers some support to the commodity. Meanwhile, US Federal Reserve rate-hike bets remain firmly on the table amid energy-driven inflation concerns, keeping the non-yielding yellow metal near the October 2025 low touched on Friday.

Dogecoin risks deeper slide as whales diverge

Dogecoin hovers around $0.075 on Monday after falling for the fifth consecutive week since the end of September. Santiment data shows diverging whale activity, as large holders reduce their positions while smaller whale wallets accumulate tokens. Meanwhile, weakening on-chain metrics and a deteriorating technical outlook suggest that DOGE could remain vulnerable to further losses.

Middle East War updates: Iran warns of expanded strikes against US despite progress in talks

Here’s a brief recap of the key developments in the Middle East war that occurred over the weekend, which are expected to have a significant impact on markets in the upcoming week.

The 2% inflation target came from a throwaway remark. It now moves trillions
The Federal Reserve's 2% inflation goal grew out of an off-the-cuff remark by a New Zealand politician in 1988. Bond investors still price long-term US debt as if 2% holds, so a change in how the Fed measures inflation would move markets.