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UK wages rise 2.9% missing estimates, GBP/USD little changed

  • The UK wages excluding bonuses rose by 3.2% YoY vs. +3.3% expected.
  • The UK wages including bonuses rose by 2.9% YoY vs. +3.0% expected.
  • The UK unemployment rate steadies at 3.8% in December.

The Office for National Statistics (ONS) showed on Tuesday, the UK’s average weekly earnings, excluding bonuses, arrived at 3.2% 3Mo YoY in December versus 3.4% last and 3.3% expected while the gauge including bonuses came in at 2.9% 3Mo YoY in December versus 3.2% previous and 3.0% expected.

The Kingdom’s official jobless rate steadied at 3.8% in Dec, while the claimant count change showed a much smaller-than-expected increase.

The number of people claiming jobless benefits rose by 5.5K in January, against expectations +22.6K and +2.6K (revised up from +14.9K) seen previously. The claimant count rate remained unchanged at 3.4% vs. 3.4% previous.

About UK jobs

The UK Average Earnings released by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) is a key short-term indicator of how levels of pay are changing within the UK economy. Generally speaking, the positive earnings growth anticipates positive (or bullish) for the GBP, whereas a low reading is seen as negative (or bearish).

FX implications

GBP/USD met fresh supply and moved a few pips below the 1.30 handle on disappointing UK wage growth numbers. The further recovery attempts, however, look unlikely amid risk-aversion led broad-based US dollar strength and increased Hard Brexit fears.

At the press time, the cable is back around the 1.3000 level, modestly flat on the day.

GBP/USD levels to watch

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.2999
Today Daily Change-0.0003
Today Daily Change %-0.02
Today daily open1.3002
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3026
Daily SMA501.3068
Daily SMA1001.2936
Daily SMA2001.2693
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3054
Previous Daily Low1.2998
Previous Weekly High1.307
Previous Weekly Low1.2872
Previous Monthly High1.3281
Previous Monthly Low1.2954
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3019
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3033
Daily Pivot Point S11.2982
Daily Pivot Point S21.2962
Daily Pivot Point S31.2926
Daily Pivot Point R11.3038
Daily Pivot Point R21.3074
Daily Pivot Point R31.3094

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

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