|

GBP/USD slides to fresh YTD lows, around mid-1.2900s

   •  Brexit worries kept GBP bulls on the defensive.
   •  A modest USD uptick prompts some fresh selling. 
   •  Technical selling accelerates the ongoing downfall.

The GBP/USD pair finally broke down of its Asian session consolidation phase and refreshed YTD lows in the last hour. 

The US Dollar remained supported by Friday's monthly jobs report, which reinforced expectations that the Fed will stick to its gradual monetary policy tightening cycle, and was seen as one of the key factors prompting some fresh selling at the start of a new trading week. 

Adding to this, Brexit concerns returned to the forefront after the UK trade minister Liam Fox highlighted that a no-deal Brexit is the most likely outcome now and exerted some additional downward pressure around the British Pound. 

The latest leg of downfall over the past hour or so could also be attributed to some technical selling below Friday's swing low level of 1.2976, touched in the aftermath of disappointing UK services PMI print for the month of July.

It would now be interesting to see if the pair is able to find any support at lower levels or the current fall marks a fresh bearish breakdown, paving the way for an extension of the near-term downward trajectory amid absent market-moving economic releases, either from the UK or the US.

Technical levels to watch

A follow-through selling pressure has the potential to continue dragging the pair further towards 1.2930 intermediate support ahead of the 1.2900 round figure mark.

On the flip side, the key 1.30 psychological mark now seems to act as an immediate hurdle, above which a bout of short-covering could lift the pair further towards 1.3060 supply zone.
 

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD pulls back from monthly high but holds above 0.7000

AUD/USD retreats from the monthly high set earlier this Thursday, sliding back to 0.7000 during the Asian session as a further escalation of tensions in the Middle East undermines the risk-sensitive Aussie. However, recent hawkish comments from RBA officials could support the Australian Dollar. Furthermore, the prevailing US Dollar selling bias, despite Fed hike bets and geopolitical uncertainties, could limit losses for the pair.

USD/JPY declines to a one-week low; eyes trading range support near 157.50 on weaker USD

USD/JPY drops to a one-week low during Thursday’s Asian session, with bears now awaiting a break below multi-week range support near mid-157.00s before placing fresh bets amid a broadly weaker US Dollar. Despite bets for a December Fed rate hike and Middle East jitters, the recent decline in US bond yields keeps USD depressed near a three-week low. Moreover, hawkish BoJ expectations and intervention risks underpin the Japanese Yen, further weighing on the currency pair.

Gold remains offered just above $4,000

Gold prices resume their decline on Thursday, easing toward the area of two-month lows around $4,050 per troy ounce. Higher crude oil prices have reignited speculation of further tightening by the Fed, supporting the US Dollar and weighing on the precious metal.

The estimates keep falling: Why Bitcoin's quantum countdown is accelerating

The threat that Artificial Intelligence (AI) and quantum computing pose to Bitcoin (BTC) and cryptocurrencies in general is no longer a matter of if hardware will catch up; it is a matter of when.

The Bank of England just got its clearest reason to hike. Here's what it's really watching

UK inflation as measured by the CPI accelerated to 3.5% YoY in September, up from 3.1% in August, according to the Office for National Statistics. This is the highest level since October 2025, exceeding economists' expectations of 3.4% and pushing inflation further from the BoE's 2% target.

What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.