|

GBP/USD: Significant support level at 1.2300 can be out of reach – UOB Group

The Pound Sterling (GBP) is likely to decline; the significant support level at 1.2300 could be out of reach. In the longer run, risk has shifted to the downside but note that there is a significant support level at 1.2300, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note.

Risk has shifted to the downside

24-HOUR VIEW: “We did not expect GBP to plunge to a low of 1.2321 yesterday (we were expecting sideways trading). While the sharp and swift selloff seems overdone, the weakness in GBP has not stabilised. Today, as long as 1.2430 is not breached, with minor resistance at 1.2395, GBP is likely to decline. However, the significant support level at 1.2300 could be out of reach. Note that yesterday’s low, near 1.2320, is expected to provide support as well.”

1-3 WEEKS VIEW: “Our latest narrative was from two days ago (07 Jan, spot at 1.2510), wherein GBP ‘is expected to trade in a range between 1.2420 and 1.2620 for the time being.’ Yesterday, in a sudden move, GBP plunged, reaching a low of 1.2321. Although the increase in momentum has shifted the risk for GBP to the downside, note that October’s 2023 low is a significant support level. The downside risk will remain intact as long as GBP remains below 1.2465. Looking ahead, the next level to watch below 1.2300 is 1.2250.”

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD: Sellers attack 1.1700 as USD stages a solid comeback

EUR/USD attacks 1.1700 amid heavy selling interest in the European trading hours on Wednesday. A solid comeback staged by the US Dollar weighs heavily on the pair, as traders look to USD short covering ahead of US CPI on Thursday. However, the downside could be capped by hawkish ECB expectations. 

GBP/USD slides toward 1.3300 after softer-than-expected UK inflation data

GBP/USD has come under intense selling pressure, eyeing 1.3300 in the European session on Wednesday. The UK annual headline and core CPI rose by 3.2% each, missing estimates of 3.5% and 3.4%, respectively, reaffirming dovish BoE expectations and smashing the Pound Sterling across the board. 

Gold: Bulls await breakout through multi-day-old range amid Fed rate cut bets

Gold attracts fresh buyers during the Asian session on Wednesday, though it remains confined in a multi-day-old trading range amid mixed fundamental cues. The global risk sentiment remains on the defensive amid economic woes and fears of the AI bubble burst. Moreover, dovish US Federal Reserve expectations lend support to the non-yielding yellow metal, though a modest US Dollar uptick might cap any further appreciating move.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple extend correction as bearish momentum builds

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple remain under pressure as the broader market continues its corrective phase into midweek. The weak price action of these top three cryptocurrencies by market capitalization suggests a deeper correction, as momentum indicators are beginning to tilt bearish.

Ukraine-Russia in the spotlight once again

Since the start of the week, gold’s price has moved lower, but has yet to erase the gains made last week. In today’s report we intend to focus on the newest round of peace talks between Russia and Ukraine, whilst noting the release of the US Employment data later on day and end our report with an update in regards to the tensions brewing in Venezuela.

AAVE slips below $186 as bearish signals outweigh the SEC investigation closure

Aave (AAVE) price continues its decline, trading below $186 at the time of writing on Wednesday after a rejection at the key resistance zone. Derivatives positioning and momentum indicators suggest that bearish forces still dominate in the near term.