|

GBP/USD seen at risk of a dip to 1.19 on a three-month view – Rabobank

As a result of this recent weakness, the Pound has lost its crown as the best performing G10 currency in the year to date. Economists at Rabobank analyze GBP outlook.

EUR/GBP to move lower within its range on a three-month view

While we expect US growth to slow to a technical recession in the early part of 2024, the current resilience of the US economy and fears that the Fed may still hike rates further suggests that Cable is likely to stay on the back foot. We see risks of a dip to GBP/USD 1.19 on a three-month view.

While we see scope for USD strength to push Cable lower on a three-month view, we continue to see the risks facing the EUR and GBP as better balanced. EUR/GBP failed to push above the top of its range last week with the 200-DMA in the 0.8708 area remaining intact. We continue to favour selling rallies to this level and see scope for EUR/GBP to move lower within its range on a three-month view given the growth clouds gathering over Germany. 

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD under pressure as yield climb weighs and Fed risk dominates

EUR/USD slides 0.05% as the week begins, courtesy of broad US Dollar strength, amid choppy trading as traders brace for the Federal Reserve monetary policy decision. At the time of writing, the pair trades at 1.1637 after hitting a daily high of 1.1672.

GBP/USD edges lower toward 1.3300 as markets turn cautious

GBP/USD corrects lower toward 1.3300 on Monday after posting gains in the previous week. The markets adopt a cautious stance ahead of the highly-anticipated Fed meeting, making it difficult for the pair to gather bullish momentum. 

Gold remains seases below $4,200 as markets gear up for Fed

Gold turned south after Wall Street's opening, trading south of $4,200. The US Dollar finds additional legs on a souring mood on Monday as market participants prepare for the upcoming Fed meeting, which will provide key insights into the short-term policy outlook.

RBA expected to hold interest rate amid rising inflation, steady economic growth

The Reserve Bank of Australia is on track to leave the Official Cash Rate unadjusted at 3.6%, following the conclusion of its December monetary policy meeting on Tuesday. The decision will be announced at 03:30 GMT, accompanied by the Monetary Policy Statement. RBA Governor Michele Bullock’s press conference will follow at 04:30 GMT.

Big week ahead: Fed poised to cut as Canada, Australia and Switzerland hold steady

This week we get a lot of data releases but the biggie is all those central bank decisions. Canada, Australia and Switzerland are expected to stay on hold, but the Fed is expected to cut.

Top 3 Price Predictions: Bitcoin and Ethereum aim for breakouts as Ripple holds at $2

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple record a minor recovery on Monday, starting the week on a positive note. The retail demand for major cryptocurrencies remains strong despite outflows from Bitcoin and Ethereum Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs).