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GBP/USD remains volatile after Powell’s speech in Jackson Hole, stays above 1.1800

  • GBP/USD seesawed in a 1.1820-1.1900 range on Fed’s Powell speech.
  • Fed’s Powell tone was hawkish but cautious, trying not to derail the markets.
  • GBP/USD Price Analysis: Rallied towards 1.1900 as Powell ended its speech but has erased those gains.

The GBP/USD seesaws as Fed Chair Powell takes the stand at the Jackson Hole Symposium. During the day, the GBP/USD bounced off a daily low at 1.1775 and rallied sharply to a fresh daily high at 1.1900. However, as Powell finished his speech, the GBP/USD retraced from highs of the days towards the 1.1800 area. At the time of writing, the GBP/USD trades volatile, around the 1.1810 area.

Fed’s Powell remarks

In his speech, Jerome Powell said that the central bank is moving “purposefully” to a sufficiently restrictive to return inflation to 2% while adding that restoring price stability will take some time, requiring a “forcefully” use of the central bank’s tools.

Powell added that the Federal funds rate at a long-run neutral estimate of 2.25% - 2.50% is “not a place to stop or pause.” He noted that the US central bank would be data-dependent for the September meeting. Even though he mentioned that the Fed will slow the pace of rate hikes, he emphasized that restoring price stability would require keeping a restrictive policy for “some time.”

After Jerome Powell’s remarks, money market futures odds of a Fed 75 bps rate hike increased to 56.5%, vs. 46.5% before the speech. Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index recovered some ground after hitting a low at 107.588, recovering the 108.000 figure, but it is still below its opening price.

At the same time, on its final reading, the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment came in at 58.2 vs. forecasts of 55.2. Earlier on Friday, the Fed’s favorite measure for inflation rose 0.1% MoM, vs. 0.3% foreseen, while annually based, core PCE decelerated to 4.6% from 4.7%.

GBP/USD Key Technical Levels

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.1807
Today Daily Change-0.0007
Today Daily Change %-0.06
Today daily open1.1832
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2044
Daily SMA501.2059
Daily SMA1001.2318
Daily SMA2001.2843
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.1864
Previous Daily Low1.1784
Previous Weekly High1.2148
Previous Weekly Low1.1792
Previous Monthly High1.2246
Previous Monthly Low1.176
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.1834
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.1815
Daily Pivot Point S11.1789
Daily Pivot Point S21.1746
Daily Pivot Point S31.1709
Daily Pivot Point R11.187
Daily Pivot Point R21.1908
Daily Pivot Point R31.1951

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

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