|

GBP/USD remains volatile after Powell’s speech in Jackson Hole, stays above 1.1800

  • GBP/USD seesawed in a 1.1820-1.1900 range on Fed’s Powell speech.
  • Fed’s Powell tone was hawkish but cautious, trying not to derail the markets.
  • GBP/USD Price Analysis: Rallied towards 1.1900 as Powell ended its speech but has erased those gains.

The GBP/USD seesaws as Fed Chair Powell takes the stand at the Jackson Hole Symposium. During the day, the GBP/USD bounced off a daily low at 1.1775 and rallied sharply to a fresh daily high at 1.1900. However, as Powell finished his speech, the GBP/USD retraced from highs of the days towards the 1.1800 area. At the time of writing, the GBP/USD trades volatile, around the 1.1810 area.

Fed’s Powell remarks

In his speech, Jerome Powell said that the central bank is moving “purposefully” to a sufficiently restrictive to return inflation to 2% while adding that restoring price stability will take some time, requiring a “forcefully” use of the central bank’s tools.

Powell added that the Federal funds rate at a long-run neutral estimate of 2.25% - 2.50% is “not a place to stop or pause.” He noted that the US central bank would be data-dependent for the September meeting. Even though he mentioned that the Fed will slow the pace of rate hikes, he emphasized that restoring price stability would require keeping a restrictive policy for “some time.”

After Jerome Powell’s remarks, money market futures odds of a Fed 75 bps rate hike increased to 56.5%, vs. 46.5% before the speech. Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index recovered some ground after hitting a low at 107.588, recovering the 108.000 figure, but it is still below its opening price.

At the same time, on its final reading, the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment came in at 58.2 vs. forecasts of 55.2. Earlier on Friday, the Fed’s favorite measure for inflation rose 0.1% MoM, vs. 0.3% foreseen, while annually based, core PCE decelerated to 4.6% from 4.7%.

GBP/USD Key Technical Levels

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.1807
Today Daily Change-0.0007
Today Daily Change %-0.06
Today daily open1.1832
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2044
Daily SMA501.2059
Daily SMA1001.2318
Daily SMA2001.2843
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.1864
Previous Daily Low1.1784
Previous Weekly High1.2148
Previous Weekly Low1.1792
Previous Monthly High1.2246
Previous Monthly Low1.176
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.1834
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.1815
Daily Pivot Point S11.1789
Daily Pivot Point S21.1746
Daily Pivot Point S31.1709
Daily Pivot Point R11.187
Daily Pivot Point R21.1908
Daily Pivot Point R31.1951

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD bounces toward 1.1750 as US Dollar loses strength

EUR/USD returned to the 1.1750 price zone in the American session on Friday, despite falling Wall Street, which indicates risk aversion. Trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, with the focus shifting to US employment and European data scheduled for next week.

GBP/USD nears 1.3500, holds within familiar levels

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades with modest intraday gains at around 1.3490 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold trims intraday gains, approaches $4,300

Gold retreated sharply from the $4,400  area and trades flat for the day in the $4,320 price zone. Choppy trading conditions exacerbated the intraday decline, although XAU/USD bearish case is out of the picture, considering growing expectations for a dovish Fed and persistent geopolitical tensions.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).