|

GBP/USD: Recovery remains capped below 1.4000, US NFP eyed

  • Risk-off and USD rebound keeps Cable under pressure.
  • US NFP data and Powell’s speech to set the tone for the USD in coming days.

After a brief stint higher in the overnight trades, the GBP/USD pair fell back in the red zone, as the bulls failed to sustain above the 1.40 handle amid a renewed risk-aversion wave triggered by fresh US-China trade threats.

The White House announced that the US President Trump is considering another $100B tariff on China, “in light of China’s unfair retaliation” against earlier US trade actions. The risk currency, GBP, tends to suffer in times of market unrest and panic.

Moreover, a pick-up in buying interest seen around the US dollar against its main competitors, also collaborated to the renewed sell-off seen in Cable, as markets readjust their USD positions heading into the crucial US labor market report and Fed Chair Powell’s speech.

Meanwhile, the GBP bulls also remain on the back foot ahead of the BOE Governor Carney’s speech scheduled later in the American session. “In the absence of any market-moving economic data from the UK, the USD price dynamics and repositioning trade should act as key determinants of the pair's momentum ahead of the key event risk (US payrolls),” FXStreet’s Analyst Haresh Menghani explains.

GBP/USD levels to watch

Haresh adds, “Technically, yesterday's fall marked a fresh bearish break and the pair's inability to extend overnight modest rebound reinforces the negative outlook. Hence, a follow-through weakness below 1.3965 intermediate support should continue dragging the pair further towards testing the 1.3900 handle. On the upside, any meaningful recovery attempts back above the 1.40 handle might continue to confront some fresh supply near the 1.4020-25 region, which if cleared might trigger a short-covering bounce back towards 1.4075-80 heavy supply zone.” 

Author

More from FXStreet Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD bounces toward 1.1750 as US Dollar loses strength

EUR/USD returned to the 1.1750 price zone in the American session on Friday, despite falling Wall Street, which indicates risk aversion. Trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, with the focus shifting to US employment and European data scheduled for next week.

GBP/USD nears 1.3500, holds within familiar levels

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades with modest intraday gains at around 1.3490 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold trims intraday gains, approaches $4,300

Gold retreated sharply from the $4,400  area and trades flat for the day in the $4,320 price zone. Choppy trading conditions exacerbated the intraday decline, although XAU/USD bearish case is out of the picture, considering growing expectations for a dovish Fed and persistent geopolitical tensions.

Breaking: US Trump speaks about Venezuelan President Maduro's capture

 United States (US) President Donald Trump gave a press conference at his residence in Mar-a-Lago. Trump confirmed the capture of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and his wife: “Maduro and his wife both will face US justice,” Trump said, adding the US will be running Venezuela until they can do a safe, proper, and judicious transition.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).