|

GBP/USD Price Forecast: Tumbles to two-month low below 1.3000 on soft UK CPI

  • GBP/USD drops 0.34%, reaching a low of 1.2981 after soft UK inflation report shocks markets.
  • A close below 1.3000 could lead the pair to test the 100-DMA at 1.2951 and further support levels.
  • If bulls regain control, resistance at 1.3100 and the 50-DMA at 1.3118 are key upside targets.

The Pound Sterling dived following a softer-than-expected UK inflation report, which dragged the GBP/USD exchange rate to a two-month low of 1.2981. Although it has recovered some ground, the pair is losing 0.49% and trades at 1.3008 at the time of writing.

GBP/USD Price Forecast: Technical outlook

After clearing the October 14 swing low of 1.3029, the GBP/USD accelerated its fall beneath 1.3000, which could pave the way for further downside.

Momentum supports sellers, as depicted by the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which broke the last trough, indicating the downtrend is accelerating.

If GBP/USD achieves a daily close below 1.3000, this could potentially send the pair to challenge the 100-day moving average (DMA) at 1.2951. On further weakness, the next stop would be the March 8 high turned support at 1.2894. If surpassed, the pair might extend its losses to the 200-DMA at 1.2793.

However, if buyers push the exchange rate past today’s high at 1.3076, and a move to 1.3100 is on the cards. Once cleared, the 50-DMA would be the next resistance level at 1.3118.

GBP/USD Price – Daily Chart

British Pound PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of British Pound (GBP) against listed major currencies today. British Pound was the strongest against the Australian Dollar.

 USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD 0.13%0.50%0.31%0.02%0.57%0.34%0.29%
EUR-0.13% 0.39%0.20%-0.08%0.45%0.24%0.10%
GBP-0.50%-0.39% -0.21%-0.47%0.06%-0.15%-0.23%
JPY-0.31%-0.20%0.21% -0.25%0.28%0.05%0.01%
CAD-0.02%0.08%0.47%0.25% 0.53%0.31%0.24%
AUD-0.57%-0.45%-0.06%-0.28%-0.53% -0.21%-0.28%
NZD-0.34%-0.24%0.15%-0.05%-0.31%0.21% -0.08%
CHF-0.29%-0.10%0.23%-0.01%-0.24%0.28%0.08% 

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the British Pound from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent GBP (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD eyes 0.7150 barrier nine-day EMA

AUD/USD inches higher after registering modest losses in the previous day, trading around 0.7130 during the Asian hours. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates that the pair is moving sideways within the rectangle pattern, suggesting a consolidation as neither the bulls nor the bears have enough momentum to take control of the market.

USD/JPY trades below 160.00 intervention threshold; bullish bias intact

The USD/JPY pair attracts some sellers during the Asian session amid fears that authorities will step in again to prop up the Japanese Yen. Furthermore, the Israel-Lebanon truce prompts some profit-taking around the US Dollar and exerts downward pressure on the currency pair.

Gold puts its 200-day SMA to the test near $4,420

Gold keeps the bullish stance in place in the latter part of Thursday’s session, although a convincing break above the key $4,500 mark per troy ounce still remains elusive. The precious metal’s advance comes amid the resurgence of some selling interest around the Greenback, improving risk sentiment, and declining US Treasury yields across the board.

Bitcoin’s massive storm is back: Why the sell-off is far from over

Bitcoin price action over the last few weeks has felt less like a normal, healthy correction and more like a slow grinding crash that continues to wreak havoc on holdings and trading accounts. And everything suggests that the dramatic crash isn’t over.

Nonfarm payrolls: Testing the limits of Fed policy patience

The upcoming nonfarm payrolls report for May will provide the final update on the US labor market before Kevin Warsh attends his first policy meeting as the new Fed Chair later this month.

Recession on paper: What really moves the Canadian Loonie now?

Statistics Canada handed the headline writers a gift and the analysts a headache. Real GDP shrank 0.1% on an annualized basis in the first quarter, and with the fourth quarter of 2025 revised down to a 1.0% contraction, that is two negative quarters in a row, the textbook definition of a technical recession and Canada's first since the pandemic.