|

GBP/USD Price Forecast: Stumbles on soft UK data, bears target 1.2600

  • GBP/USD remains under pressure, testing significant support levels after crossing below the 200-day SMA.
  • Further downside may see the pair target 1.2600 and potentially extend to May's low of 1.2445.
  • Recovery above 1.2700 could challenge resistance at 1.2817, with RSI indicating potential consolidation ahead.

The Pound Sterling extends its agony and printing losses for the sixth straight day against the Greenback. Soft UK GDP coupled with robust US Retail Sales figures boosted the US Dollar and weighed on GBP/USD, which trades at 1.2636, down 0.22%.

GBP/USD Price Forecast: Technical outlook

The GBP/USD is bearish-biased once it falls below the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). A daily close below the latest intermediate support at 1.2664, the August 8 swing low, would pave the way for further downside. The following key support level would be the 1.2600 figure, followed by the latest cycle low at 1.2445 on May 9, followed by the year-to-date (YTD) low at 1.2299.

Conversely, if GBP/USD recovers and rises above 1.2700, the next resistance would be the 200-day SMA at 1.2817. Once surpassed, the next resistance would be the 1.2900 mark.

Oscillators, such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI), suggest the pair might consolidate. The RSI is nearby oversold conditions and has begun to shift flat.

GBP/USD Price Chart – Daily

British Pound PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of British Pound (GBP) against listed major currencies today. British Pound was the strongest against the Canadian Dollar.

 USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD -0.25%0.16%-0.98%0.11%-0.22%-0.35%-0.35%
EUR0.25% 0.40%-0.75%0.36%0.03%-0.10%-0.10%
GBP-0.16%-0.40% -1.15%-0.03%-0.37%-0.50%-0.50%
JPY0.98%0.75%1.15% 1.10%0.75%0.61%0.62%
CAD-0.11%-0.36%0.03%-1.10% -0.35%-0.47%-0.47%
AUD0.22%-0.03%0.37%-0.75%0.35% -0.14%-0.15%
NZD0.35%0.10%0.50%-0.61%0.47%0.14% -0.01%
CHF0.35%0.10%0.50%-0.62%0.47%0.15%0.00% 

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the British Pound from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent GBP (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds steady below 1.1800

EUR/USD moves sideways in a narrow channel below 1.1800 as the market volatility remains low ahead of the New Year holiday. On Tuesday, investors will pay close attention to the minutes of the Federal Reserve's December policy meeting.

GBP/USD retreats below 1.3500 as trading conditions remain thin

GBP/USD corrects lower after posting strong gains in the previous week and trades below 1.3500 on Monday. With the action in financial markets turning subdued following the Christmas holiday, however, the pair's losses remain limited.

Gold extends correction from record-high

Gold retreats toward $4,450 from the record-peak it set at $4,550 and loses more than 1% on the day. Growing optimism about a Ukraine-Russia peace agreement and profit-taking ahead of the New Year holiday seem to be causing XAU/USD to push lower.

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP bulls regain strength

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple record roughly 3% gains on Monday, regaining strength mid-holiday season. Despite thin liquidity in the holiday season, BTC and major altcoins are regaining strength as US President Donald Trump pushes peace talks between Russia and Ukraine. The technical outlook for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple gradually shifts bullish as selling pressure wanes.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.