|

GBP/USD Price Forecast: Falls below 1.3300 on risk-off mood

  • GBP/USD declines by over 0.50%, on sour sentiment due to Middle East tensions.
  • UK Manufacturing PMI expanded but slowed, while US ISM Manufacturing PMI improved yet remained in contractionary territory.
  • A break below 1.3300 could lead to testing support at 1.3266, with further downside risk toward 1.3200 and 1.3145.

The Pound Sterling fell against the Greenback during the North American session, losing over 0.50% amid a risk-off mood due to heightened tensions in the Middle East. At the time of writing, the GBP/USD trades at 1.3300.

Business activity remains resilient, according to S&P Global, which revealed September’s Manufacturing PMI expanded as expected but slowed compared to the previous reading. Across the pond, the ISM Manufacturing PMI improved yet remained in contractionary territory.

GBP/USD Price Forecast: Technical outlook

The GBP/USD extended its losses below 1.3300, opening the door for further downside. Sellers are eyeing August 27’s peak of 1.3266. In the short term, momentum shifted to be bearish, as portrayed by the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which aimed toward its neutral line. However, the RSI is still in bullish territory.

Once the GBP/USD clears the August 27 high, the next support would be the 1.3200 figure. On further weakness, the next stop would be the September 17 daily low of 1.3145, followed by the 1.3100 mark.

Conversely, for a bullish continuation, the GBP/USD must climb past 1.3300 and clear the top-trendline of the ascending channel at around 1.3380-90.

GBP/USD Price Action – Daily Chart

British Pound PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of British Pound (GBP) against listed major currencies today. British Pound was the strongest against the New Zealand Dollar.

 USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD 0.53%0.67%0.01%-0.16%0.43%0.96%-0.04%
EUR-0.53% 0.12%-0.53%-0.70%-0.09%0.41%-0.58%
GBP-0.67%-0.12% -0.65%-0.82%-0.22%0.30%-0.69%
JPY-0.01%0.53%0.65% -0.15%0.44%0.95%-0.03%
CAD0.16%0.70%0.82%0.15% 0.60%1.13%0.10%
AUD-0.43%0.09%0.22%-0.44%-0.60% 0.51%-0.49%
NZD-0.96%-0.41%-0.30%-0.95%-1.13%-0.51% -0.98%
CHF0.04%0.58%0.69%0.03%-0.10%0.49%0.98% 

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the British Pound from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent GBP (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD sits at two-month lows near 0.6950 after Australian CPI data

AUD/USD is sitting at two-month lows near 0.6950 in the Asian session on Wednesday, as below-expectations August Australian underlying CPI data pours cold water on expectations for further RBA interest rate hikes. Chinese PMI data also fail to inspire the Australian Dollar, despite a pause in the US Dollar advance.

USD/JPY stays weak below 157.00 amid Japanese intervention risks

USD/JPY keeps losses below 157.00 in the Asian session on Wednesday, as hawkish BoJ expectations, along with intervention risks, underpin the Japanese Yen, countering dismal domestic factory output and retail sales data. Meanwhile, a broad US Dollar retreat also collaborates to the pair's downside.

Gold eyes US PCE inflation data for next move

Gold is consolidating the previous rebound from an eight-week low of $4,110 in Asia on Wednesday, although it remains below $4,200 ahead of the US ADP jobs report and core Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index data.   


Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple pause near recent highs as bullish momentum moderates

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are showing signs of slowing bullish momentum mid-week after slight pullbacks from their recent highs. BTC faces resistance near $85,000, with ETH hovering around $2,674 and XRP holding near $1.500, as traders assess whether these top three cryptocurrencies can resume their recent rallies.

Warning: The RBI's October rate hike may be too late as oil risks mount
The Indian Rupee (INR) is one of the worst-performing Asian currencies in 2026, down about 6.5% year-to-date against the US Dollar (USD) and trading near historic lows ahead of the October 5–7 Reserve Bank of India (RBI) meeting. Economists expect the RBI to raise its repo rate by 25 basis points (bps) next month and follow up with another increase in December to counter rising retail inflation.
Silver is more volatile than Gold ahead of PCE and NFP. This chart shows the positioning gap
The market’s attention is focused on American data this week, but there’s something only those with a trained eye may be looking at: Gold and Silver positioning gap. Financial markets are moving on fears, mostly related to persistently high energy prices driven by the Middle East war. Sure, the US Dollar (USD) is strong, but at what cost?