GBP/USD Price Forecast: Drops below 1.3100 as Fed large rate cut odds wane
- GBP/USD downtrend intensifies, with momentum signaling further downside as RSI nears a break below neutral.
- Key support at 1.3044 could trigger deeper losses, with the 50-DMA at 1.2933 and the 1.2900 mark as critical levels.
- Buyers must reclaim 1.3239 for a bullish continuation and to regain upward momentum.
The GBP/USD begins the North American session down by over 0.30% on Monday as traders trim the chances of a 50-basis point Fed interest rate cut in ten days. At the time of writing, the pair trades at 1.3075 after reaching a high of 1.3143.
GBP/USD Price Forecast: Technical outlook
The GBP/USD has fallen below the 1.3100 mark, though the uptrend remains intact unless sellers grab the pair below the July 17 high of 1.3044, which could open the door for a deeper pullback.
Momentum suggests further downside. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is about to punch below its neutral line, which could spark a sell-off. Therefore, in the short term, the path of least resistance is tilted to the downside.
The first support for GBP/USD would be the July 17 peak turned support, followed by the 1.3000 figure. Further losses are seen beneath that level, with the 50-day moving average (DMA) emerging as the potential line of defense for buyers at 1.2933, ahead of 1.2900.
For a bullish continuation, GBP/USD buyers must reclaim last week’s peak at 1.3239.
GBP/USD Price Action – Daily Chart
British Pound PRICE Today
The table below shows the percentage change of British Pound (GBP) against listed major currencies today. British Pound was the strongest against the New Zealand Dollar.
| USD | EUR | GBP | JPY | CAD | AUD | NZD | CHF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD | 0.42% | 0.40% | 0.34% | -0.01% | 0.22% | 0.52% | 0.37% | |
| EUR | -0.42% | -0.07% | -0.02% | -0.43% | -0.25% | 0.14% | -0.07% | |
| GBP | -0.40% | 0.07% | -0.07% | -0.35% | -0.18% | 0.19% | -0.01% | |
| JPY | -0.34% | 0.02% | 0.07% | -0.35% | -0.11% | 0.19% | 0.21% | |
| CAD | 0.00% | 0.43% | 0.35% | 0.35% | 0.27% | 0.54% | 0.53% | |
| AUD | -0.22% | 0.25% | 0.18% | 0.11% | -0.27% | 0.37% | 0.14% | |
| NZD | -0.52% | -0.14% | -0.19% | -0.19% | -0.54% | -0.37% | -0.19% | |
| CHF | -0.37% | 0.07% | 0.00% | -0.21% | -0.53% | -0.14% | 0.19% |
The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the British Pound from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent GBP (base)/USD (quote).
Author
Christian Borjon Valencia
FXStreet
Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.
