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GBP/USD Price Analysis: Tumbles below crucial 1.2500 as bears move in

  • GBP/USD drops 0.30%, US Dollar rises on positive US trade and labor data.
  • The GBP/USD struggles below 200-DMA at 1.2550, trending down.
  • RSI indicates bearish momentum; sellers control the market.
  • Recovery above 1.2500 could retest 200-DMA, with resistance at 1.2569 and 50-DMA at 1.2613.

The Pound Sterling tumbled in early trading during the North American session, dropping below the 1.2500 figure amid renewed US Dollar strength. Data from the United States showed that the Balance of Trade deficit tightened while the labor market remained tight, as revealed by the Initial Jobless Claims report. The GBP/USD trades at 1.2488, down 0.30%.

GBP/USD Price Analysis: Technical outlook

From a technical standpoint, the GBP/USD is showing a neutral to downward bias. This is a result of buyers failing to breach the significant resistance at the 200-day moving average (DMA) at 1.2550. This failure has further intensified the major’s drop below the 1.2500 figure, potentially paving the way for a test of the latest cycle low seen at 1.2299, the April 22 low.

Momentum points to a continuation of the downtrend, as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) turned bearish on April 30. As of writing, it aims downward, meaning sellers remain in charge.

On the other hand, if buyers reclaim 1.2500, they must reclaim the 200-DMA ahead of testing the April 29 high at 1.2569. Once cleared, the next stop would be the 1.2600 mark, followed by the 50-DMA at 1.2613. Further gains are seen above the 100-DMA at 1.2644.

GBP/USD Price Action – Daily Chart

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.2481
Today Daily Change-0.0045
Today Daily Change %-0.36
Today daily open1.2526
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2507
Daily SMA501.2618
Daily SMA1001.2648
Daily SMA2001.2551
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.255
Previous Daily Low1.2466
Previous Weekly High1.2542
Previous Weekly Low1.23
Previous Monthly High1.2709
Previous Monthly Low1.23
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2518
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2498
Daily Pivot Point S11.2479
Daily Pivot Point S21.2431
Daily Pivot Point S31.2395
Daily Pivot Point R11.2562
Daily Pivot Point R21.2598
Daily Pivot Point R31.2646

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
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