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GBP/USD Price Analysis: The pound stutters ahead of 1.32 despite a less dovish BoE

  • GBP/USD trades 0.25% higher and is only outdone by the antipodeans on Thursday.
  • The trend on the daily chart is still very strong and today's close could be significant.

GBP/USD daily chart

Cable has had an interesting session. There was some early GBP strength after the Bank of England was less dovish than some analysts might have expected. There was no move on rates and QE but the MPC members backtracked on their stance on negative rates saying "negative rates are in the BoE toolbox, but no plans to use them".

Looking at the chart, there was a spike higher but the price has pulled back somewhat. The daily candle might be a shooting start or inverted hammer which is bearish but we would need to wait for the close for confirmation. There is also a resistance one at 1.32 and there could be a sticky point there but for now, the trend is still up.

On the downside. 1.30 has proved itself to be a great support area. On the lower timeframes, it is slightly clearer but the rejection at the psychological level was solid. If we are looking for the next support It would still be at the 1.30 zone but beyond that, there is another level at the purple line near 1.28 and the price is quite some way away from there.

The indicators are still looking very bullish. The Relative Strength Index is in the overbought zone but that does not always mean a reversal is coming. The MACD histogram bars are still green and the signal lines are also still above the mid-point. 

Overall, this is still a firm uptrend. On the 4-hour timeframe, there is a Relative Strength Index divergence but only a break of 1.30 would confirm the bearishness. Tomorrow could be a volatile session (NFP) and much of the price action will depend on the dollar. 

GBP/USD Technical Analysis

Additional levels

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.3145
Today Daily Change0.0031
Today Daily Change %0.24
Today daily open1.3114
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2798
Daily SMA501.2626
Daily SMA1001.2458
Daily SMA2001.2708
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3161
Previous Daily Low1.3058
Previous Weekly High1.317
Previous Weekly Low1.2782
Previous Monthly High1.317
Previous Monthly Low1.236
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3122
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3097
Daily Pivot Point S11.3061
Daily Pivot Point S21.3008
Daily Pivot Point S31.2958
Daily Pivot Point R11.3165
Daily Pivot Point R21.3215
Daily Pivot Point R31.3268

 

Author

Rajan Dhall, MSTA

Rajan Dhall is an experienced market analyst, who has been trading professionally since 2007 managing various funds producing exceptional returns.

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