|

GBP/USD Price Analysis: Struggles to conquer 1.3700 mark amid stronger USD

  • GBP/USD edged higher on Wednesday, albeit lacked any strong follow-through buying.
  • Renewed USD buying interest was seen as a key factor capping any meaningful upside.
  • The technical set-up favours bullish traders and supports prospects for additional gains.

The GBP/USD pair traded with a mild positive bias through the early North American session, albeit seemed struggling to build on the momentum beyond the 1.3700 mark.

The US dollar was back in demand amid a modest bounce in the US Treasury bond yields and held steady following the release of US consumer inflation figures. This, in turn, was seen as one of the key factors capping gains for the GBP/USD pair.

From a technical perspective, the overnight breakout momentum through a short-term descending trend-line resistance supports prospects for additional gains. The constructive set-up is reinforced by bullish oscillators on hourly/daily charts.

That said, bulls might still wait for some follow-through buying beyond the 1.3700 round-figure before positioning for any further appreciating move. The GBP/USD pair might then accelerate the momentum to the 1.3775-80 area en-route the 1.3800 mark.

On the flip side, the daily swing lows, around mid-1.3600s, now seems to act as immediate support. Any subsequent slide might attract some dip-buying and help limit the downside near the trend-line resistance breakpoint, around the 1.3600 level.

Failure to defend the mentioned resistance-turned-support might prompt some technical selling and drag the GBP/USD pair further towards the 1.3560-55 horizontal support. This is followed by strong support near the 1.3520-15 region.

A convincing breakthrough, leading to weakness below the key 1.3500 psychological mark will negate any near-term positive bias and constitute the formation of a bearish double-top. This would set the stage for some meaningful corrective slide.

GBP/USD 4-hourly chart

fxsoriginal

Technical levels to watch

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.3682
Today Daily Change0.0016
Today Daily Change %0.12
Today daily open1.3666
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3549
Daily SMA501.3393
Daily SMA1001.3193
Daily SMA2001.2896
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3669
Previous Daily Low1.3502
Previous Weekly High1.3704
Previous Weekly Low1.3532
Previous Monthly High1.3686
Previous Monthly Low1.3134
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3605
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3565
Daily Pivot Point S11.3555
Daily Pivot Point S21.3445
Daily Pivot Point S31.3388
Daily Pivot Point R11.3722
Daily Pivot Point R21.3779
Daily Pivot Point R31.3889

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD accelerates losses, focus is on 1.1800

EUR/USD’s selling pressure is gathering pace now, opening the door to a potential test of the key 1.1800 region sooner rather than later. The pair’s pullback comes on the back of marked gains in the US Dollar following US data releases and the publication of the FOMC Minutes later in the day.

GBP/USD turns negative near 1.3540

GBP/USD reverses its initial upside momentum and is now adding to previous declines, revisiting at the same time the 1.3540 region on Wednesday. Cable’s downtick comes on the back of decent gains in the Greenback and easing UK inflation figures, which seem to have reinforced the case for a BoE rate cut in March.

Gold picks pace, flirts with $5,000

Gold is back on the front foot on Wednesday, shaking off part of the early week softness and pushing higher towards the key $5,000 mark per troy ounce. The move comes ahead of the FOMC Minutes and is unfolding despite an intense rebound in the US Dollar.

Fed Minutes to shed light on January hold decision amid hawkish rate outlook

The Minutes of the Fed’s January 27-28 monetary policy meeting will be published today. Details of discussions on the decision to leave the policy rate unchanged will be scrutinized by investors.

Mixed UK inflation data no gamechanger for the Bank of England

Food inflation plunged in January, but service sector price pressure is proving stickier. We continue to expect Bank of England rate cuts in March and June. The latest UK inflation read is a mixed bag for the Bank of England, but we doubt it drastically changes the odds of a March rate cut.

Sui extends sideways action ahead of Grayscale’s GSUI ETF launch

Sui is extending its downtrend for the second consecutive day, trading at 0.95 at the time of writing on Wednesday. The Layer-1 token is down over 16% in February and approximately 34% from the start of the year, aligning with the overall bearish sentiment across the crypto market.