|

GBP/USD Price Analysis: Plummets and shift bearish, dives below 1.2500

  • GBP/USD falls sharply, influenced by a move towards safer assets and a strengthening US Dollar.
  • Technical analysis indicates a shift to bearish territory after dropping below the 200-day moving average.
  • Recovery targets include reclaiming 1.2500, with resistance at the 200-day DMA.

The British Pound plunged against the US Dollar late in the North American session, down 0.74%, and trades at 1.2445 after hitting a daily high of 1.2559. Risk aversion triggered a flight to safety, a headwind for the Pound Sterling even though UK GDP figures were solid.

GBP/USD Price Analysis: Technical outlook

From a technical perspective, the GBP/USD shifted bearish as it achieved a successive series of lower highs and lows while breaching key support levels. On its way south, the pair cleared the 200-day moving average (DMA) at 1.2584, which opened the door to a tumble below 1.2500.

For a bearish continuation, the GBP/USD needs to clear the 1.2400 mark. A breach of the latter will expose the November 17, 2023, low of 1.2374, followed by the 1.2300 mark.

On the other hand, if buyers lift the GBP/USD past the 1.2500, that could pave the way for further gains. The next resistance would be the 200-day moving average (DMA) at 1.2584, ahead of 1.2600.

As the GBP/USD dropped below key support levels and achieved

GBP/USD Price Action – Daily Chart

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.2447
Today Daily Change-0.0106
Today Daily Change %-0.84
Today daily open1.2553
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2644
Daily SMA501.2659
Daily SMA1001.267
Daily SMA2001.2586
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2579
Previous Daily Low1.2511
Previous Weekly High1.2684
Previous Weekly Low1.2539
Previous Monthly High1.2894
Previous Monthly Low1.2575
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2553
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2537
Daily Pivot Point S11.2516
Daily Pivot Point S21.248
Daily Pivot Point S31.2448
Daily Pivot Point R11.2584
Daily Pivot Point R21.2615
Daily Pivot Point R31.2652

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD trims gains, back to around 1.3500

GBP/USD now surrenders part of the earlier move to multi-week peaks around 1.3530 and comes close to the 1.3500 support on Monday. Cable’s uptick comes in tandem with decent gains in the Greenback, always amid persistent uncertainty lingering over the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz and US-Iran talks.

EUR/USD deflates to 1.1540

EUR/USD begins the week on the back foot, retesting the 1.1540 zone as the NA session draws to a close. The better tone in the US Dollar weighs on the risk complex, sparking the daily correction in spot, always on the back of unabated effervescence in the Middle East.

Gold clings to daily gains; focus is back to $4,400

Gold picks up pace and advances past the $4,350 mark per troy ounce, adding to Friday’s gains. That said, the yellow metal keeps pushing harder despite the better tone in the US Dollar, and is closely following the Fed’s interest-rate outlook as well as developments in the Middle East

Bitcoin vs Gold Overview: XAU tests breakout, BTC slides as Trump claims Iran negotiations
The cryptocurrency market shows signs of trimming gains accrued last week as Bitcoin (BTC) slides below $65,000 at the time of writing on Monday. Meanwhile, Gold (XAU/USD) maintains a bullish outlook, hovering above $4,350.
US Payrolls miss – RBA on deck tomorrow
It would be remiss of me not to kick off this morning’s report with a rundown of last Friday’s US jobs report, which was a belter. Headline payrolls fell by 23,000, versus expectations of an 80,000 gain. The BLS noted that May was revised down by 66,000 (from 129,000) and June by 37,000 (from 57,000), resulting in combined May-June revisions of 103,000 lower than previous reports.
9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?
The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.