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GBP/USD Price Analysis: Oscillates in trading range above 1.2700 ahead of Fed, BoE rate decision

  • GBP/USD consolidates in a trading range near 1.2708 ahead of the Fed and BoE rate decisions this week.
  • The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator suggests the non-directional action of the pair. 
  • The immediate resistance level is located at 1.2738; the next support level will emerge at 1.2675.

The GBP/USD pair remains confined in a narrow trading range above the 1.2700 mark during the early European trading hours on Tuesday. Investors prefer to wait on the sidelines ahead of key events from the Federal Reserve (Fed) and the Bank of England (BoE). At press time, GBP/USD is trading at 1.2708, down 0.02% on the day. 

The Fed is widely anticipated to hold benchmark interest rates steady at a 23-year high of 5.25–5.50% at its January meeting on Wednesday, after a lengthy effort to tame rampant inflation. Meanwhile, the BoE is expected to keep rates steady. Nonetheless, signs that the inflation crisis is easing off might convince the UK central bank to lower rates after all.

From a technical perspective, GBP/USD oscillates in the two-week-old trading range on the four-hour chart. The major pair is above the 100-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA). However, the bullish outlook of GBP/USD remains vulnerable as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovers around the 50 midlines, suggesting the non-directional action of the pair. 

The upper boundary of the Bollinger Band at 1.2738 acts as an immediate resistance level for the pair. A decisive break above the latter will pave the way to a high of January 26 at 1.2758. Further north, the next upside target to watch is a high of January 12 at 1.2785, en route to a high of December 28 at 1.2828.

On the other hand, a breach of the 1.2700 round figure will see a drop to the lower limit of the Bollinger Band at 1.2675. The critical contention level is seen at the 1.2600–1.2610 zone, representing the confluence of the psychological mark and a low of January 2. Any follow-through selling below the latter will expose a low of December 11 at 1.2535.

GBP/USD four-hour chart

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.2708
Today Daily Change-0.0003
Today Daily Change %-0.02
Today daily open1.2711
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2703
Daily SMA501.2671
Daily SMA1001.2464
Daily SMA2001.2559
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2719
Previous Daily Low1.2662
Previous Weekly High1.2775
Previous Weekly Low1.2649
Previous Monthly High1.2828
Previous Monthly Low1.2501
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2697
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2684
Daily Pivot Point S11.2676
Daily Pivot Point S21.2641
Daily Pivot Point S31.2619
Daily Pivot Point R11.2732
Daily Pivot Point R21.2754
Daily Pivot Point R31.2789

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

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