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GBP/USD Price Analysis: Drops below 200-DMA, at cross-roads to resume downtrend

  • GBP/USD declines 0.36% from its daily peak, under pressure from indications of rising US inflation.
  • The pair struggles above the 200-day moving average at 1.2564, hinting at potential further declines.
  • Support levels are seen at: November 14, 2023, high of 1.2506; breaching this could lead to further support tests at 1.2448 and the year-to-date low of 1.2299.
  • A recovery above the 200-DMA could reignite bullish momentum, aiming for 1.2600, with additional resistance at the 50-DMA and 100-DMA at 1.2619 and 1.2645.

The Pound Sterling reverses its course against the US Dollar, after extending its gains past the 200-day moving average (DMA). However, data from the United States (US), showing that inflation could be picking up, as shown by the Employment Cost Index (ECI), bolstered the Greenback. Therefore, the GBP/USD trades at 1.2517 down by some 0.36%, after hitting a daily high of 1.2563.

GBP/USD Price Analysis: Technical outlook

The GBP/USD is neutral biased, though failure to cling above the 200-DMA at 1.2564 might open the door for a pullback, with traders eyeing a test of the November 14, 2023, high at 1.2506. In the event of a drop below that level, further downside is seen at the April 26 intermediate support at 1.2448, before the major plunges to the year-to-date (YTD) low of 1.2299.

On the other hand, if the pair edges above the 200-DMA that would pave the way for testing 1.2600. Once surpassed, key resistance levels emerge. The 50-DMA is up next at 1.2619, followed by the 100-DMA at 1.2645. Subsequent gains are seen above those levels, exacerbating a rally toward 1.2700.

GBP/USD Price Action – Daily Chart

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.2519
Today Daily Change-0.0043
Today Daily Change %-0.34
Today daily open1.2562
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2518
Daily SMA501.2623
Daily SMA1001.265
Daily SMA2001.2556
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.257
Previous Daily Low1.2477
Previous Weekly High1.2542
Previous Weekly Low1.23
Previous Monthly High1.2894
Previous Monthly Low1.2575
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2534
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2512
Daily Pivot Point S11.2503
Daily Pivot Point S21.2444
Daily Pivot Point S31.241
Daily Pivot Point R11.2596
Daily Pivot Point R21.2629
Daily Pivot Point R31.2688

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

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