|

GBP/USD Price Analysis: Consolidates around 1.2700 after hitting 7-day low

  • GBP/USD slightly down for the second session in a row.
  • Technicals indicate losing buyer momentum as RSI approaches the 50-midline.
  • A drop below 1.2700 could push GBP/USD towards key moving averages near 1.2686 and potentially lower.
  • Upside seen above 1.2750, with buyers eyeing 1.2800.

The British Pound extended its losses for the second consecutive trading session against the US Dollar, following last Friday’s stellar jobs report from the US, which triggered the likelihood of a less dovish Federal Reserve. That and uncertainty on the upcoming Fed’s meeting would keep Cable pressured. Therefore, the GBP/USD trades at 1.2713, down 0.01%

GBP/USD Price Analysis: Technical outlook

After struggling at around 1.2800 with key technical resistance levels, the GBP/USD tumbled below 1.2700 and printed a new seven-day low of 1.2687 before recovering some ground.

Although momentum still favors buyers, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) dropped sharply towards crossing the 50-midline, hinting that buyers are losing momentum. Nevertheless, Monday’s price action seems to form a ‘dragonfly doji,’ a bullish candlestick.

If GBP/USD reclaims 1.2750, it will be possible to challenge the June 7 high of 1.2813. Once cleared, the next resistance line will be 1.2850, followed by 1.2900.

Conversely, if GBP/USD prints a daily close below 1.2700, that would sponsor a leg-down toward the confluence of the 100-day moving average (DMA) at around 1.2686, ahead of the 50 and 200-DMAs each at 1.2602 and 1.2543, respectively.

GBP/USD Price Action – Daily Chart

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.2718
Today Daily Change-0.0002
Today Daily Change %-0.02
Today daily open1.272
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2718
Daily SMA501.26
Daily SMA1001.2638
Daily SMA2001.2545
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2818
Previous Daily Low1.2716
Previous Weekly High1.2818
Previous Weekly Low1.2695
Previous Monthly High1.2801
Previous Monthly Low1.2446
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2755
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2779
Daily Pivot Point S11.2685
Daily Pivot Point S21.2649
Daily Pivot Point S31.2583
Daily Pivot Point R11.2787
Daily Pivot Point R21.2853
Daily Pivot Point R31.2889

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7000; remains close to monthly top

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7000 during the Asian session on Friday, trading just below the previous day's monthly low amid diverging forces. A hawkish RBA continues to support the Aussie, while the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near a three-week low. However, oil-driven inflation fears reinforce Fed hike bets, which, along with geopolitical risks, could benefit the safe-haven buck and cap the currency pair.

USD/JPY bounces off one-month low; climbs to 157.00 amid reviving USD demand

USD/JPY rebounds from the 156.00 neighborhood, or a one-month low touched during Friday’s Asian session, with bulls looking to extend momentum beyond 157.00 amid the emergence of some US Dollar buying. Meanwhile, Japan's National CPI rose to a nine-month peak and reaffirmed BoJ rate-hike bets, which could support the Japanese Yen and cap gains for the currency pair.

Gold treads water around $4,000

Gold prices maintain its offered stance in place at the end of the week, hovering around the key $4,000 threshold per troy ounce. The persistent selling bias in the precious metal comes amid decent gains in the US Dollar and an acceptable rebound in US Treasury yields across the curve, all alongside further upside traction in crude oil prices.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin holds the 50-day EMA as Ethereum and XRP face structural resistance

Bitcoin gradually ticks up on Friday, trading above $81,000. The Crypto King has recently defended structural support near $80,000, reinforcing the prevailing bullish outlook. Ethereum similarly edges higher above $2,400, while Ripple trades above $1.32 after testing support around $1.30.

The French bond panic is overdone. Here's what the market is misreading 

France's 10-year government bond yield has climbed above 5%, reigniting fears of a sovereign debt crisis in the Eurozone. With public debt exceeding €3.5 trillion, persistent budget deficits and a fragmented political landscape, investors are increasingly questioning the French government's ability to stabilize its finances.

What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.