|

GBP/USD Price Analysis: Bulls pause ahead of key fundamental drivers

  • GBP/USD dips 0.16% to 1.2605 on Tuesday after reaching its highest level since mid-January.
  • RSI declines to 62, indicating a slowdown in bullish momentum, while MACD remains flat with green bars.
  • The pair eyes the 100-day SMA at 1.2660, with UK inflation and Retail Sales data set to provide direction.

GBP/USD retreated slightly on Tuesday, edging down 0.16% to 1.2605 after an extended rally that propelled it to its highest level since mid-January. Despite this mild pullback, the broader outlook remains constructive, as the pair continues to set its sights on the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 1.2660.

Momentum indicators suggest a temporary cooling-off period rather than a structural shift. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has dipped to 62, signaling a slowdown in buying pressure but still holding in positive territory. Meanwhile, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram remains flat with green bars, reinforcing the notion that the latest price action is more of a technical correction than a bearish reversal.

Looking ahead, GBP/USD could receive fresh volatility on Wednesday as the UK is set to release key economic data, including inflation figures and retail sales numbers. These reports will be crucial in shaping expectations for Bank of England policy and could provide the fundamental push needed for the pair to either resume its upward trajectory or extend its consolidation phase.

GBP/USD daily chart

Author

Patricio Martín

Patricio is an economist from Argentina passionate about global finance and understanding the daily movements of the markets.

More from Patricio Martín
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD hits multi-week tops around 1.3560

GBP/USD gathers fresh steam and advances to new three-month peaks near the 1.3560 zone on Friday. Cable’s sharp move higher comes after three daily drops in a row and follows the increasing selling pressure hurting the Greenback.

EUR/USD pops to fresh two-month highs, targets 1.1600

EUR/USD advances markedly, revisiting the upper 1.1500s for the first time since mid-June. The pair’s sharp uptick comes on the back of a strong retracement in the US Dollar amid BoJ intervention chatter and despite steady uncertainty in the Middle East.

Gold picks up pace, approaches $4,400

Gold rebounds toward the $4,400 mark per troy ounce on Friday, reversing the previous day’s pullback. The precious metal’s recovery comes as fresh and intense weakness keep weighing on the US Dollar, while traders keep assessing easing expectations of an imminent Fed interest rate hike and the situation from the Middle East.

Pi Network Price Forecast: PI extends consolidation as bulls eye $0.10
Pi Network (PI) price holds steady on Friday, maintaining a consolidating tone for three consecutive days. Mild retail strength in the PI token remains stable, with Open Interest above $9 million, while social buzz eases. PI token’s technical outlook is mixed, as bearish momentum wanes to neutral, with bulls eyeing the $0.1000 psychological level.
 Weekly focus: Some relief in US inflation concerns

Actual inflation data for July came out as expected with a 0.1% m/m increase in headline CPI and 0.2% excluding food and energy. Annual headline inflation remains too high at 3.4% and means that wage earners are experiencing stagnating spending power at best, and core inflation is a bit higher than the inflation target of two percent would suggest.

Why is Crude Oil priced for a reopening the ships haven't made?
Fourteen vessels crossed the Strait of Hormuz on Tuesday. Before the war, the count ran near 120 a day. In the sessions since the waterway was publicly declared open, Brent has drifted back to $87 and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) to $81, both a little lower again on Wednesday, with daily momentum on each unwound from the top of its range in late July to the low twenties now.