|

GBP/USD Price Analysis: Bulls move in from critical hourly support

  • GBP/USD bears take control ahead of the central bank meetings this week. 
  • Bulls and bears battle it out at key hourly support. 

GBP/USD has been in the hands of the bears at the start of this week in the lead into the centerpiece events being the Bank of England and the Federal Reserve. Currently, the price is attempting to correct from the lows of 1.1357 at 1.1370 but is well off from the highs of the day's range at 1.1460. The following illustrates the market structure from both a near-term and longer-term perspective. 

GBP/USD H1 chart

From an hourly perspective, the price has run into a familiar support area and would be expected to correct higher from here with the price imbalance between 1.1380and close to 1.40 the figure eyed. 

GBP/USD daily chart

Overall, as per the daily chart above and the weekly below, the price is in a strong bearish trend which leaves the focus on the downside, especially as the bears take out the 2020 low of 1.1410.

GBP/USD weekly and month charts

1.1240 and 1.0520 are a focus on the longer-term outlook. However, a revisit to 1.19 and 1.20 in a mean reversion of the recent monthly bearish impulse to meet and prior lows could be in order:

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD sits at three-week highs above 0.7000 on hawkish RBA-speak

AUD/USD holds a positive bias for the fourth straight day, trading above 0.7000 in the Asian session on Wednesday and at three-week highs. RBA Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser's hawkish remarks and inflation concerns underpin the pair. However, the upside appears capped as the US Dollar attracts some buyers amid looming US-Iran uncertainty.

USD/JPY remains confined in a familiar range below 158.50

USD/JPY sees some dip-buying in the Asian session on Wednesday, though it remains confined within a multi-week range near 158.50 as the uncertainty over the timing of the next BoJ rate hike keeps Japanese Yen bulls on the defensive. Meanwhile, hawkish Fed expectations, bolstered by inflation risks stemming from volatile oil prices, underpin the US Dollar. However, looming intervention fears could limit JPY losses and cap the currency pair.

Gold appears slightly bid above $4,100

Gold prices manage to reverse three consecutive daily declines, trading just above the $4,100 per troy ounce on Wednesday. The yellow metal’s recovery comes amid a humble advance in the US Dollar, mixed US Treasury yields across the board and a widespread cautious tone from the US-Iran front.

Bitcoin eyes a break above $85,000 as institutional demand returns

Bitcoin edges higher above $83,000, extending its rebound from the 50-day EMA near $80,786. US-listed BTC spot ETFs recorded over $23 million in net inflows on Tuesday, following Monday's $526 million, signaling a return of institutional demand.

What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.

The US Dollar fell. Gold didn't rally. That tells you everything
Gold (XAU/USD) is struggling to capitalize on a weaker US Dollar (USD), after repeatedly failing to establish itself above the $4,200 level. The precious metal remains confined to a relatively narrow trading range despite a combination of developments that would normally support higher prices.