GBP/USD Price Analysis: Break below 1.3900 mark should pave way for further losses

  • GBP/USD remained under some selling pressure for the second straight session on Friday.
  • The intraday downtrend managed to find some support near the 1.3900 confluence level.
  • Mixed technical indicators warrant some caution before placing aggressive directional bets.

The GBP/USD pair witnessed some heavy selling for the second consecutive session on Friday and dropped to over one-week lows during the early European session.

The sharp corrective slide from almost three-year tops stalled near the 1.3900 confluence support amid oversold RSI on intraday charts. The mentioned level comprises the 50% Fibonacci level of the post-BoE strong positive move and 100-period SMA on the 4-hourly chart. This should now act as a key pivotal point for intraday traders.

Meanwhile, oscillators on the daily chart have eased from the overbought zone and are still holding in the bullish territory. This, along with the emergence of some dip-buying, warrants some caution for bearish traders. That said, the GBP/USD pair's inability to capitalize on the move beyond mid-1.3900s supports prospects for additional losses.

The mixed technical set-up makes it prudent to wait for a sustained break through the 1.3900 mark before traders start positioning for any further depreciating move. A convincing break below would turn the GBP/USD pair vulnerable to accelerate the fall towards mid-1.3800s en-route the 61.8% Fibo. level support near the 1.3820-15 region.

On the flip side, the 1.3950 level now seems to act as immediate resistance. Any further recovery might be seen as a selling opportunity near the 1.3975-80 region (38.2% Fibo. level). This, in turn, should cap the GBP/USD pair near the key 1.4000 psychological mark, marking a three-week-old ascending trend-line support breakpoint.

GBP/USD 4-hourly chart


Technical levels to watch


Today last price 1.3938
Today Daily Change -0.0069
Today Daily Change % -0.49
Today daily open 1.4007
Daily SMA20 1.3855
Daily SMA50 1.3701
Daily SMA100 1.3447
Daily SMA200 1.3121
Previous Daily High 1.4182
Previous Daily Low 1.4
Previous Weekly High 1.4036
Previous Weekly Low 1.383
Previous Monthly High 1.3759
Previous Monthly Low 1.3451
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.407
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.4113
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.3944
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.3881
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.3762
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.4126
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.4245
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.4308



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