|

GBP/USD Price Analysis: Bounces after printing a doji, as morning-star looms

  • GBP/USD rises 0.34%, trading at 1.2755, as soft US jobs data fuels speculation the Fed may end its tightening cycle, providing support to the Sterling.
  • Technical analysis indicates potential for short-term gains but highlights the importance of 1.2800 resistance.
  • Key support and resistance levels were identified, including 20-day EMA at 1.2819 and 100-day EMA at 1.2595.

GBP/USD registered modest gains on Friday after a soft US jobs data report spurred speculations the US Federal Reserve (Fed) might end its tightening cycle. Nevertheless, failure to crack the 1.2800 figure would likely keep the Sterling (GBP) pressured in the medium term. The GBP/USD trades at 1.2755, a gain of 0.34% at the time of writing.

GBP/USD Price Analysis: Technical outlook

The GBP/USD has been recovering some ground in the last couple of days. Thursday’s price action formed a doji, but Friday’s bullish candlestick remains shy of completing a ‘morning-star’ bullish candlestick pattern, which could indicate further gains in the near term.

The uptrend could resume if GBP/USD achieves a daily close above April 26 daily high at 1.2772, followed by the 1.2800 figure. A breach of the latter will expose the 20-day EMA at 1.2819, followed by the 1.2900 mark. Conversely, the GBP/USD first support would be the 1.2700 figure. The break below will set the stage to test the August 3 daily low of 1.2620, followed by the 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.2595.

GBP/USD Price Action – Daily chart

GBP/USD Daily chart

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.2754
Today Daily Change0.0045
Today Daily Change %0.35
Today daily open1.2709
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2898
Daily SMA501.2728
Daily SMA1001.258
Daily SMA2001.2311
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2728
Previous Daily Low1.2621
Previous Weekly High1.2996
Previous Weekly Low1.2763
Previous Monthly High1.3142
Previous Monthly Low1.2659
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2662
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2687
Daily Pivot Point S11.2643
Daily Pivot Point S21.2578
Daily Pivot Point S31.2536
Daily Pivot Point R11.2751
Daily Pivot Point R21.2793
Daily Pivot Point R31.2858

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD edges lower below 1.1650 as Middle East tensions fuel US Dollar strength

The EUR/USD pair trades in negative territory around 1.1635 during the early Asian session on Thursday. The US Dollar strengthens against the Euro as escalating Middle East conflict boosts safe-haven flows. Traders brace for the Eurozone Retail Sales and US weekly Initial Jobless Claims reports, which will be released later on Thursday. 

GBP/USD tests key moving averages as growth downgrade weighs

GBP/USD was nearly flat on Wednesday, edging up 0.08% to settle around 1.3370 in a quiet session. The pair has fallen sharply from its late-January high near 1.3870 and is now testing the 200-day Exponential Moving Average, with this week's one-week forex heatmap showing Pound Sterling as one of the worst performers against the US Dollar, down about 1.4% on the week.

Gold re-attempts $5,200 amid a softer USD; reduced Fed rate cut bets cap gains

Gold bounces toward $5,200 for the second consecutive day on Thursday amid a modest US Dollar weakness. Wednesday's upbeat US macro data further tempered hopes for three rate cuts by the Fed in 2026. Furthermore, escalating Middle East tensions might continue to benefit the USD's status as the global reserve currency and contribute to capping the bullion.

Ethereum jumps alongside a spike in open interest, realized price could limit upside

Ethereum has jumped above $2,100 on Wednesday, following a general recovery across the crypto market. The move was accompanied by a spike in Ethereum's open interest, which has increased to 13.43M ETH — its highest level since January 31. 

First Venezuela, now Iran: The US-China energy war escalates

At first glance, the latest escalation involving the United States with both Iran and Venezuela looks like another chapter in a long-running geopolitical story. But viewed through a broader strategic lens, something else may be unfolding: Energy.

Bittensor extends recovery despite retail demand slump

Bittensor, a leading Artificial Intelligence token, is aging up above $190 at the time of writing on Wednesday. Steady price increases characterise the broader crypto market, with Bitcoin holding above $71,000 and Ethereum above $2,000.