|

GBP/USD pares intraday losses, down a little around 1.2420 ahead of US PMIs

  • GBP/USD comes under some selling pressure on Friday, albeit the fall lacks bearish conviction.
  • The disappointing UK Retail Sales data, mixed UK PMIs undermine the GBP and exert pressure.
  • Retreating US bond yields keeps a lid on the intraday USD uptick and lends support to the pair.

The GBP/USD pair stalls its intraday decline near the 1.2375 region and recovers over 40 pips from a three-day low touched earlier this Friday. Spot prices, however, keep the red through the early North American session and currently trade around the 1.2415-1.2420 area, still down nearly 0.20% for the day.

The British Pound weakens across the board following the disappointing UK macro releases, which, along with an intraday US Dollar (USD) uptick, exert some downward pressure on the GBP/USD pair. In fact, the UK Office for National Statistics reported that domestic Retail Sales contracted by 0.9% in March and sales excluding fuel dropped by 1% during the reported month, both missing consensus estimates. Adding to this, the flash UK Manufacturing PMI delivers a negative surprise and drops further into contraction territory, to 46.6 in April, offsetting the better-than-expected Services PMI, which rose to 54.9 in April.

The USD, on the other hand, initially drew support from growing acceptance that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will continue raising interest rates. This was seen as another factor weighing on the GBP/USD pair, though the intraday downfall stalls ahead of the 1.2350 strong horizontal support. The ongoing downfall in the US Treasury bond yields, along with a modest recovery in the global risk sentiment, act as a headwind for the safe-haven Greenback. Apart from this, rising bets for an additional interest rate hike by the Bank of England (BoE) in May contribute to limiting losses for the major, at least for the time being.

The aforementioned mixed fundamental backdrop warrants some caution for aggressive traders and before positioning for a firm near-term direction. Market participants now look forward to the release of the flash US PMI prints. This, along with the US bond yields and the broader risk sentiment, will influence the USD price dynamics and allow traders to grab short-term opportunities around the GBP/USD pair.

Technical levels to watch

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.2419
Today Daily Change-0.0024
Today Daily Change %-0.19
Today daily open1.2443
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2402
Daily SMA501.2202
Daily SMA1001.2196
Daily SMA2001.1924
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2468
Previous Daily Low1.2405
Previous Weekly High1.2546
Previous Weekly Low1.2344
Previous Monthly High1.2424
Previous Monthly Low1.1803
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2444
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2429
Daily Pivot Point S11.2409
Daily Pivot Point S21.2375
Daily Pivot Point S31.2346
Daily Pivot Point R11.2473
Daily Pivot Point R21.2502
Daily Pivot Point R31.2536

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD embarks on a consolidative move around 1.1600

EUR/USD rapidly leaves behind Friday’s small downtick and trades with solid gains on Monday, consolidating its daily advance around the 1.1600 region as the NA session draws to a close. Meanwhile, the improved risk appetite following the US-Iran deal and the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz continues to weigh on the US Dollar, lending support to the broader risk-linked galaxy.

GBP/USD retreats from tops, back to 1.3420

GBP/USD keeps its advance past the 1.3400 yardstick at the beginning of the week. In the meantime, Cable continues to draw support from improved market sentiment following reports that the US and Iran have reached a framework agreement aimed at ending the conflict and reopening the Strait of Hormuz.

Gold holds gains as US-Iran deal reduces Fed hike expectations

Gold price trades with mild gains during the early Asian session on Tuesday. The precious metal extends the rally after the United States and Iran reached a comprehensive framework deal to end hostilities, easing inflation concerns. 

Bank of Japan expected to raise interest rate to 1%, its highest since 1995

The Bank of Japan is expected to hike interest rates to 1% in its June meeting. Governor Kazuo Ueda will not precede the meeting due to health issues. USD/JPY retains its bullish bias despite easing demand for the US Dollar.

Indonesia may have stabilised the Rupiah, but the bigger fight is not over

Bank Indonesia’s emergency rate hike has bought the Rupiah some time, but the currency’s hesitant response suggests it has not yet restored confidence. Can higher interest rates solve the Rupiah’s problem, or do the country’s challenges run deeper?

4.2% headline, 0.2% core: Why the Fed's next hike may be targeting the wrong problem

May's CPI put headline inflation at 4.2% on the year, up from 3.8% in April and the hottest reading since April 2023, while core prices rose just 0.2% on the month, undershooting the 0.3% consensus and halving April's pace.