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GBP/USD loses some of its shine after Powell comments

  • GBP/USD is trading 0.29% higher on Wednesday despite some recent weakness.
  • Powell noted that some data had suggested the recovery could be fragile. 

Fundamental backdrop

Some key comments from Powell:

  • On the balance, it looks like some of the data are pointing to a slower pace of recovery. 
  • Fed will maintain its current pace of asset purchases.
  • Fed will not cut back on its emergency facilities for a very long time.
  • Some of the high-frequency data showed recovery slowed in June.

Its was the last headline that seemed to have done the damage to EUR/USD and GBP/USD. The market is still extremely volatile but the dollar seems to do well as a safe haven when the recovery is threatened and in this case, there has been no change. The fact that the Fed are willing to use all their tools if the situation gets worse is also supportive. 

GBP/USD 1-hour chart

GB/USD has been trading much stronger in recent session as the USD capitulation continued. There have been many reasons to sell the USD including its nations handling of the COVID-19 crisis, upcoming election risks and the trade war with China. It seems that the greenback only strengthens when there is a threat to the risk markets. Looking at the chart below there is a clear channel formation that has been forming recently. There is a light internal trendline that could provide some support but the main support and resistance levels are the channel lines. The previous wave highs can be used as support levels and the next one is at 1.2950 and beyond that the psychological 1.29 level. 

GBP/USD

Additional levels

GBP/USD

Overview
Today last price1.2963
Today Daily Change0.0031
Today Daily Change %0.24
Today daily open1.2932
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.263
Daily SMA501.2525
Daily SMA1001.241
Daily SMA2001.2702
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2953
Previous Daily Low1.2838
Previous Weekly High1.2804
Previous Weekly Low1.2518
Previous Monthly High1.2813
Previous Monthly Low1.2252
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2909
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2882
Daily Pivot Point S11.2863
Daily Pivot Point S21.2793
Daily Pivot Point S31.2748
Daily Pivot Point R11.2977
Daily Pivot Point R21.3022
Daily Pivot Point R31.3091

Author

Rajan Dhall, MSTA

Rajan Dhall is an experienced market analyst, who has been trading professionally since 2007 managing various funds producing exceptional returns.

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